SEGRO Plc reports growth in rents, earnings and dividends

SEGRO PLC

SEGRO Plc (LON:SGRO) has published its Full Year 2024 Results for the year ended 31 December 2024.

KEY MESSAGES:

  • Strong leasing and asset management activity, including record levels of rental uplifts, driving 5.5 per cent earnings growth.
  • Positive portfolio revaluation due to proactive asset management and improving investment market conditions.
  • Confidence in delivery of further development led-growth and significant additional value creation opportunity through data centre pipeline.

Commenting on the results David Sleath, Chief Executive of SEGRO, said:

“SEGRO delivered over 5 per cent growth in earnings and dividends per share in 2024. We generated £91 million of new headline rent, our third best year on record, including a 43 per cent uplift from UK rent reviews and renewals.

“We have created the largest data centre hub in Europe and are increasingly excited about the exceptional value creation opportunity from our pipeline of 2.3GW European data centre sites in core Availability Zones. We plan to pursue the most attractive risk-adjusted returns on each opportunity, including initially working with partners to develop fully-fitted data centres. 

“We have strong conviction in the enduring structural trends that are driving occupier demand for our space. Our business, with its high-quality, well-located, urban-weighted portfolio, exceptional land bank and strong balance sheet is primed for further growth. Having seen conversations with occupiers pick up pace in recent weeks, we expect leasing and pre-letting activity to increase. This would support attractive, compounding earnings and dividend growth in the medium-term, with significant additional value upside from our data centre pipeline.”

HIGHLIGHTS1:

Proactive and customer-focused management of the portfolio generated new headline rent commitments of £91 million during the period (2023: £88 million). £26 million of this was driven by the capture of reversion in the UK portfolio at rent reviews and renewals, reflecting a record 43 per cent average uplift.
7.0 per cent increase in net rental income to £628 million (2023: £587 million), driven by strong like-for-like rental growth of 5.8 per cent and development completions.
Adjusted pre-tax profit increased by 14.9 per cent to £470 million (2023: £409 million), resulting from increased net rental income and lower interest costsAdjusted EPS increased by 5.5 per cent to 34.5 pence (2023: 32.7 pence), the impact of the equity placing being broadly neutral as lower interest costs were offset by the higher share count.
Adjusted NAV per share of 907 pence (31 December 2023: 907 pence). Over the full year the portfolio value increased 1.1 per cent (2023: 4.0 per cent decline) and rental value (ERV) grew by 3.2 per cent.
Development completions added £37 million of potential new headline rent, delivered at a  yield on cost of 6.9 per cent. 84 per cent of this has been leased and 97 per cent was, or is expected to be, certified BREEAM ‘Excellent’ (or local equivalent) or higher.
A further £51 million of potential rent from development projects under construction or in advanced negotiations, 53 per cent relate to pre-lets. Expected yield on cost for these projects is 7.9 per cent.
Active portfolio recycling to drive portfolio performance: £431 million acquisitions of prime assets in core markets with strong growth potential, £896 million of disposals of assets which we expected to deliver less attractive risk-adjusted returns.  
Since the period end, our joint venture SEGRO European Logistics Partnership (“SELP”) exchanged contracts on the acquisition of a further €470 million of high-quality assets in Germany and The Netherlands. The transaction is expected to complete in the first quarter.
Over £1.5 billion of new equity and debt financing providing the firepower for further growth. LTV of 28 per cent at 31 December 2024 (31 December 2023: 34 per cent) and net debt:EBITDA 8.6 times (31 December 2023: 10.4 times).
Attractive cost of debt due to our diverse, long-term debt structure. Average cost of debt has reduced to 2.5 per cent (31 December 2023: 3.1 per cent).
2024 full year dividend increased 5.4 per cent to 29.3 pence (2023: 27.8 pence). Final dividend increased by 5.8 per cent to 20.2 pence (2023: 19.1 pence).

OUTLOOK

We enter 2025 with confidence in SEGRO’s prospects for further growth. Our portfolio is of irreplicable quality, having been purposefully curated over the past 15 years. Two-thirds of it is located in Europe’s largest cities, with the remaining one-third strategically located near logistics hubs and along key transportation corridors. Our chosen markets have a shortage of modern, sustainable space with low land availability and restrictive planning policies limiting the supply of competing space.

We have strong conviction that demand for our space will continue to be supported by powerful, enduring structural trends: data and digitalisation, urbanisation, supply chain optimisation and sustainability.  Sentiment in occupier markets is improving and we saw a pick up in occupier activity during the final months of the year, as evidenced by our strong leasing activity in the last quarter. This momentum has carried into the early weeks of 2025, and we take confidence from the positive conversations we are having with our customers across all of our markets.

Our portfolio is full of current and future opportunity. We have the potential to:

Secure £173 million of additional rental income from our standing portfolio through capturing the existing rent reversion (£118 million) and leasing vacant space (£55 million);
Deliver £422 million of new rent from development on our exceptional land bank located in the most attractive markets, with a profitable yield on cost of 7 to 8 per cent;
Continue delivering compounding annual rental growth on our portfolio in line with our long-standing guidance of 2 to 6 per cent per annum, thus growing rents faster than inflation.

Our track record in creating Europe’s largest hub of data centres in Slough, with over 0.5GW of capacity either operational or under construction, has helped us to develop strong relationships with global data centre players, which provide us with unique insights into this exciting, high-growth opportunity.

We have built a landbank with exceptional access to 2.3GW of potential power in Europe’s key Availability Zones.
As well as building powered shells, we recognise the potential to create significant additional value from the development of fully-fitted data centres in select locations, with projects currently under active consideration.

Our business is therefore well-placed for further attractive, compounding growth in earnings and dividends in the years ahead, with significant additional value upside from our data centre pipeline.   

FINANCIAL SUMMARY

 20242023Change
 per cent
Adjusted2 profit before tax (£m)47040914.9
IFRS2 profit/(loss) before tax (£m)                     636(263)
Adjusted2 earnings per share (pence)34.532.75.5
IFRS2 earnings per share (pence)44.7(20.7)
Dividend per share (pence)29.327.85.4
Total Accounting Return (%)33.1(3.3)
20242023Change
 per cent
Assets under Management (£m)20,29620,677
Portfolio valuation (SEGRO share, £m)17,77017,7621.14
Net true equivalent yield (per cent)5.45.3
Adjusted5 6 net asset value per share (pence, diluted)907907
IFRS net asset value per share (pence, diluted)889886
Net debt (SEGRO share, £m)5,0006,016
Loan to value ratio including joint ventures and associates’ at share (per cent)2834
Net debt:EBITDA78.610.4

1  Figures quoted on pages 1 to 18 refer to SEGRO and SEGRO’s share of joint ventures and associates, except for land (hectares) and space (square metres) which are quoted at 100 per cent, unless otherwise stated. Please refer to the Presentation of Financial Information statement in the Financial Review for further details.

2  The primary driver of the difference between Adjusted profit before tax and IFRS profit before tax (£636 million IFRS profit before tax versus £470 million Adjusted profit before tax and earnings per share (44.7 pence IFRS earnings per share versus 34.5 pence adjusted earnings per share) is the realised and unrealised property gains on our portfolio recognised in IFRS but not recognised in our Adjusted profit and earnings metrics. Further information and reconciliations between the Adjusted and IFRS metrics can be found in Note 2 (Adjusted profit) and Notes 11 (Earnings per ordinary share) to the condensed financial information.

3  Total Accounting Return is calculated based on the opening and closing adjusted NAV per share adding back dividends paid during the period.

4  Percentage valuation movement during the period based on the difference between opening and closing valuations for all properties including buildings under construction and land, adjusting for capital expenditure, acquisitions and disposals.

5  A reconciliation between Adjusted net asset value per share and IFRS net asset value per share is shown in Note 11 to the condensed financial information.

6  Adjusted net asset value is in line with EPRA Net Tangible Assets (NTA) (see Table 5 in the Supplementary Notes for a NAV reconciliation).

7  Relates to SEGRO Group only. For further information on net debt:EBITDA see footnote 2 to Table 2 in the Supplementary Notes.

OPERATING SUMMARY & KEY METRICS

 20242023
PORTFOLIO VALUATION TURNS POSITIVE, DRIVEN BY RENTAL GROWTH AND STABILISATION OF INVESTMENT MARKETS   (see page 12):
Portfolio valuation change (%):Group1.1(4.0)
UK2.1(3.4)
CE(0.8)(5.1)
ERV growth (%)Group3.26.0
UK3.74.9
CE2.37.9
STRONG GROWTH IN RENTAL INCOME DRIVEN BY RECORD CAPTURE OF REVERSION AND ACTIVE ASSET MANAGEMENT (see pages 12 and 19):
Total new rent secured in the year (£m)9188
Pre-lets signed in the year (£m)2027
Like-for-like net rental income growth (%):                      Group5.86.5
UK5.95.3
CE5.78.5
Uplift on rent reviews and renewals (%):Group3431
(note: excludes uplifts from indexation)UK4340
CE78
Occupancy rate (%)94.095.0
Customer retention (%)8081
Corporate and customer carbon emission intensity (kgCO2e/sq m)36.436.12
Installed solar capacity (MW)12359
INVESTING TO SECURE PROFITABLE GROWTH, AND ATTRACTIVE RISK ADJUSTED RETURNS (see page 15):
Development capex (£m)471527
Asset acquisitions (£m)431
Land acquisitions (£m)23404
Disposals (£m)896356
Development capex for 2025 expected to be c.£500 million.DEVELOPMENT PIPELINE DELIVERING PROFITABLE GROWTH (see page 16):
Development completions:
–    Space completed (sq m)374,700625,700
       –     Potential rent (£m) (Rent secured)37 (84%)50 (87%)
       –     Development yield (%)6.97.0
       –     BREEAM ‘Excellent’1 or above (% of floorspace completed)9792
–     Average embodied carbon intensity of development completions (kgCOe/sq m)3183312
  Current development pipeline potential rent (£m) (Rent secured)46 (50%)51 (62%)
  Near-term pre-let development pipeline potential rent (£m)520

 

1. Or local equivalent

2. The 2023 figures are a restatement of previously reported figures and are in line with the methodology of our new Science Based Target.

FINANCIAL CALENDAR

2024 final dividend ex-div date                                                                                            27 March 2025

2024 final dividend record date                                                                                           28 March 2025

2024 final dividend payment date                                                                                           14 May 2025

2025 Q1 Trading Update                                                                                                        30 April 2025

Half Year 2025 Results (provisional)                                                                                       31 July 2025

WEBCAST / CONFERENCE CALL FOR INVESTORS AND ANALYSTS

A live webcast of the results presentation will be available from 08:30am (UK time) at:

https://www.investis-live.com/segro/677f9a2aa4d247000ef05a52/paket

The webcast will be available for replay at SEGRO’s website at: http://www.segro.com/investors shortly after the live presentation.

A conference call facility will be available at 08:30am (UK time) on the following number:

Dial-in: 44 (0)800 279 3956 / +44 (0) 207 107 0613

Access code:  20250066
An audio recording of the conference call will be available until 21 February 2025 on:

UK:  +44 (0) 203 608 8021

Access code: 20250066

A video of David Sleath, Chief Executive discussing the results will be available to view on www.segro.com, together with this announcement, the Full Year 2024 Property Analysis Report and other information about SEGRO.

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