KeyCorp (KEY): Navigating Challenges with a 26.36% Potential Upside

Broker Ratings

KeyCorp (NYSE: KEY), a significant player in the U.S. regional banking sector, is currently navigating a complex financial landscape. With its market capitalization standing at $17.52 billion, KeyCorp operates predominantly through its Consumer Bank and Commercial Bank segments, offering a comprehensive suite of financial services ranging from personal banking to sophisticated corporate financial solutions.

Despite the challenging backdrop, KeyCorp’s current stock price of $15.99, which sits within a 52-week range of $13.36 to $19.97, suggests room for investor optimism. Analysts have set a price target as high as $43.00, with an average target of $20.20, implying a notable potential upside of 26.36%.

However, potential investors should carefully consider KeyCorp’s current financial health. The bank is grappling with a revenue decline of 42.90%, and its earnings per share (EPS) are in the negative at -0.32, reflecting broader pressures within the financial sector. Furthermore, KeyCorp’s return on equity stands at -0.99%, and it’s noteworthy that the bank is not reporting positive net income or free cash flow at present.

Valuation metrics paint a mixed picture. The forward P/E ratio of 9.23 suggests that KeyCorp might be undervalued compared to its future earnings prospects. However, several other key metrics, such as the PEG ratio and Price/Book, are currently unavailable, limiting a full comparative analysis with its peers.

The dividend yield of 5.13% is attractive, especially in today’s low-interest environment, but the payout ratio of 107.89% raises sustainability concerns. Investors should be wary of the fact that the bank is currently paying out more in dividends than its earnings can support, which could lead to dividend cuts if profitability does not improve.

Technical indicators provide additional insights into KeyCorp’s market performance. The stock is trading below both its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating potential bearish sentiment. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 34.19 suggests the stock is nearing oversold territory, which might attract contrarian investors looking for potential rebounds. Additionally, the MACD and signal line hover in negative territory, typically a bearish indicator.

On the analyst front, KeyCorp enjoys a relatively balanced view, with 12 buy ratings and 11 hold ratings, and notably, no sell ratings. This mixed sentiment reflects the bank’s current challenges but also acknowledges its potential for recovery.

For investors considering an entry point into KeyCorp, the bank’s extensive history dating back to its founding in 1849 offers a reminder of its resilience. While current financial metrics indicate caution, the potential upside and the absence of sell ratings from analysts suggest a stock worth watching, particularly for those with a risk appetite and a long-term investment horizon.

 

 

The information in this article should not be taken as advice. Readers should conduct their own due diligence and seek independent financial advice before making any investment decisions.

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