Morses Club Plc
Morses Club

Morses Club share price, company news, analysis and interviews

With a 130-year history, Morses Club PLC (LON: MCL) was formed in 2015 from the integration of Morses Club and Shopacheck Financial Services.

Morses Club now have two divisions: Morses Club, their home collected credit division; and Shelby Finance Limited, their digital division, set-up in 2019 following the acquisitions of CURO Transatlantic Limited and U Holdings Limited.

Morses Club plc

The company’s three brands provide flexible, affordable and convenient access to credit and online banking services for over 224,000 customers across the UK:

Morses Club Plc
Morses Club
Morses Club

Morses Club

Morses Club is the UK’s second largest Home Collected Credit lender, providing small, short-term loans to customers unable to access traditional High Street lending. Local agents manage the issue and collection process, offering a simple and personal fixed payment service based on weekly collections.

Dot Dot Loans

Dot Dot Loans is our online lending provider. Meeting the needs of two segments of the lending market, it offers online instalment loans repayable over the short and long term. Customers looking to borrow between £200 and £1,000 repay over three, six or nine months, while loans between £1,500 and £4,000 are repayable over 18, 24, 36 or 48 months.

U Account

U Account is our online, e-money current account provider. Designed for customers who may not have access to mainstream banking, it provides online current account services based on two pricing models: pay as you go or pay monthly, which removes or reduces certain associated fees.

Customers can find the Morses Club login here 

and discover more about the app here 

History

Morses Club started over 130 years ago and was originally a general drapery store in Swindon, owned by Mr Levi Morse. Gradually, the business expanded to encompass several departments stores throughout the surrounding areas.

Because of the success of these stores, Morses began employing ‘travellers’ who called on people in their homes to sell goods on weekly credit. This laid the foundations for the weekly home collected credit services now offered by Morses Club PLC.

On 1st March 2015, Morses Club merges with Shopacheck Financial Services Ltd to become one of the largest home collected credit providers in the UK.

Morses Club is now an established Doorstep Lender with over 140,000 customers throughout the UK. We work with agents based all over the country who enable us to provide cash loans to your doorstep.

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Morses Club Plc

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Morses Club plc

Morses Club update on funding arrangements

Morses Club PLC (LON:MCL), an established provider of non-standard credit services, has provided the following update to investors. 

The Company announced that it has agreed with its current funding consortium an extension of the term-out clause from September 2022 to January 2023, with the facility remaining in place until 31st March 2023. The funding consortium has also agreed to continue the temporary deferral of the testing of two covenants linked to profitability for a further period until October 2022. Furthermore, the facility has been reduced to £25m from £35m, which is aligned to the revised funding requirements of the Company.  

Morses Club is an established provider of non-standard credit services in the UK. The Group consists of Morses Club, the UK’s largest home collected credit (“HCC”) provider1, and Shelby Finance Limited, Morses Club’s Digital division, which operates under the online brand of Dot Dot Loans, an online lending provider. The Group’s growing Digital capabilities and scalable, highly invested IT platform has enabled Morses Club to deliver a range of lending products to the non-standard credit market.

UK HCC is considered to be a specialised segment of the broader UK non-standard credit market. UK HCC loans are typically small, unsecured loans delivered directly to customers either remotely or in their homes.

1 Based on Net Loan Book of £45.3m as at 28 August 2021

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Morses Club plc

Morses Club results update

Morses Club PLC (LON:MCL), an established provider of non-standard credit services, today announced that its full-year results for the 52-week period ending 26 February 2022 will be reported on 25 August 2022. The Directors continue to expect that the results will be in line with guidance given on 20 July 2022.

Morses Club is an established provider of non-standard credit services in the UK. The Group consists of Morses Club, the UK’s largest home collected credit (“HCC”) provider, and Shelby Finance Limited, Morses Club’s Digital division, which operates under the online brand of Dot Dot Loans, an online lending provider.  The Group’s growing Digital capabilities and scalable, highly invested IT platform has enabled Morses Club to deliver a range of lending products to the non-standard credit market.

UK HCC is considered to be a specialised segment of the broader UK non-standard credit market. UK HCC loans are typically small, unsecured loans delivered directly to customers either remotely or in their homes.

Morses Club’s HCC division is the largest UK Home Collected Credit (HCC) lender1 with 144,000 customers throughout the UK.   The HCC division enjoys consistently high customer satisfaction scores of 98%2. In 2019 the Company introduced an online customer portal for its HCC customers, which now has over 108,000 registered customers.

The Group’s growing Digital division, Shelby Finance, operates under the online brand Dot Dot Loans which provides online instalment loans of up to 48 months to c. 47,000 active customers.

Morses Club listed on AIM in May 2016.

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Morses Club

Morses Club report strong trading during the period

Morses Club PLC (LON:MCL), an established provider of non-standard financial services, has provided the following trading update for the 52-week period to 26th February 2022 (“FY22”).

Trading

The Group traded strongly during the period and adapted its customer offering in response to positive market demand for lending, along with changing consumer needs, due to the easing of the pandemic. The strategic focus on delivering excellent customer experience supported by technology is embedded throughout the business.

Digital

In the Digital lending division, customer numbers stood at over 36,500 at the end of the period, an increase of 59% since the end of FY21. Total credit issued for the period was £41.2m (FY21: £19.3m), a 113% increase. The gross loan book was £23.9m, an increase of 98% (FY21: £12.1m). The quality of the lending in the digital division remains high, with collections performance in line with management’s budgeted plan.

Customer demand has been strong, with a focus on short-term lending during the period. Customer satisfaction for the division is at 91%. Due to the IFRS9 requirement to take forward-looking provisions at the outset of the loan period, impairment was outside the guidance range in H1. However, impairment significantly improved in H2. We therefore expect the overall impact of this to result in impairment above the guidance range of 45% – 55%.

The division is now primed for continued growth with a stable platform and a significant target market. Month-to-month profitability was achieved in the last two months of FY22. Our growth plans in early FY23 are expected to increase impairment in the short term but we expect to return to run rate profitability during FY23.

Home Collected Credit

The Home Collected Credit (“HCC”) division traded well, despite the recently reported impact of an increase in complaints submitted by claims management companies. We constantly monitor our credit policy to keep it aligned to market conditions and some tightening of criteria has ensured the quality of our lending is maintained. Customer numbers of 143,000 (FY21: 151,000) at the end of the period are a strong indicator of consistent demand. Total credit issued during FY22 was £108.0m, 9% above management’s budgeted plan and just marginally lower than the previous year (FY21: £109.7m). The gross loan book was £96.7m (FY21: £102.1m). Cash collection performance for the HCC division has remained strong and is ahead of management’s budgeted plan.

The Group continues to adapt to a structurally changing HCC sector influenced by changing customer and regulatory needs; 66% of all lending is now cashless, while 87% of payments are cashless. This is consistent with FY21, despite the easing of Covid-19 restrictions. 81% of customers are signed up for the customer portal, which has increased by 8% compared to FY21.  Impairment for the financial year is expected to be lower than the Company’s guidance range.

Customer satisfaction remains high at 97% for the HCC division, reflecting continued customer support for the evolving digital HCC model.   

The Group’s funding structure remains unchanged, with a revolving credit facility of £35m in place until 31 March 2023.

On 21 February 2022, the Group announced that it expected adjusted profit before tax for FY22 to be between 20% and 30% below the prevailing analyst consensus of £7.5m due to the impact of the recent increase in claims, subject to year-end audit review. Complaints continue at the same levels as we reported, and our guidance remains unchanged.  

Morses Club will review its dividend at the time of finalising its full year audited accounts.

U Account

Following a strategic review of the e-money current account product, U Account, the business has decided to withdraw this product from the market due to significant changes in market conditions.

Director Change

Following the completion of her second three-year term of office as a Non-Executive Director on the Board, Joanne Lake will be stepping down from the Board on 31 March 2022. The Group thanks Joanne for her dedication and hard-work for Morses Club over her six-year tenure on the Board.

Notice of Interim Results

Morses Club will announce its results for the 52-week period ending 26 February 2022 during May 2022.  An update on the expected date of results will be provided in due course.

Gary Marshall, Morses Club Chief Executive Officer, commented: “I am very pleased to have been appointed CEO of Morses Club at such an important and transformational time in the business’ history. I am very encouraged by the performance of the Group over the period. We have traded profitably, with a renewed focus on delivery and enhancing our customer experience. Our digital expertise gives us the ability to adapt to the continued change in customer and regulatory demands in both the Digital and HCC divisions.  

“The HCC business has traded strongly, with proven levels of adaptability which we will continue to mould to our customers’ needs over the coming years. I look forward to providing the group with a renewed focus on transforming the business to deliver sustained growth for both divisions.”

Sir Nigel Knowles, Chairman, added: “Having served on the Board of Morses Club for a number of years, I am delighted to take up the role of Chairman. The underlying trading performance of the business is positive and the reshaped leadership team will give added impetus to the growth plans of the business that will ensure continued focus on delivering for our customers, shareholders, employees and agents.”

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Morses Club

Morses Club appoints Sir Nigel Knowles as Chair of the Board

Morses Club PLC (LON:MCL), an established provider of non-standard financial services, has announced the appointment of Sir Nigel Knowles as Chair of the Board with effect from 1 March 2022, subject to FCA approval. Stephen Karle will retire on 28 February 2022 from his position as Chair and Non-Executive Director, after seven years. 

Sir Nigel, who has been Morses Club’s Senior Independent Director since May 2016, is CEO of global legal firm DWF Group PLC. The former Global Co-Chairman and Senior Partner of DLA Piper, Sir Nigel is credited with DLA Piper’s remarkable growth, leading the firm through a series of mergers and taking the firm from its regional origins to become a leading global firm. He received a knighthood in 2009 in recognition of his services to the legal industry. Sheryl Lawrence, who joined the Morses Club Board in May 2021, will take up the position of Senior Independent Director upon Sir Nigel’s appointment to Chair.

Stephen has been Chair of Morses Club since January 2015. He led the business through its successful IPO and supported its transition from a pure home collected credit provider to its current position as a market-leading provider of non-standard credit. After seven years as Chair, Stephen has decided to retire at the end of this financial year.

Morses Club also announces the retirement of Andy Thomson from the Board as an NED. Andy has worked with Morses Club for the last twelve years and was appointed CFO in 2016, before stepping down in July 2019. Andy remained on the Board as a non-executive director and stepped back in to support Morses Club as interim CFO in March 2020 for seven months. Following a period of ill-health in 2020, Andy has decided to retire and will leave the Board on 31 December 2021. 

Sir Nigel Knowles, incoming Chairman of Morses Club, commented: “I have worked with Stephen and Andy for the last five years and they have both played a significant role in the development of Morses Club. Their leadership, commitment and understanding of the business have been invaluable. On behalf of the Board, we would like to extend our sincere thanks to Stephen and Andy for their contribution to the business and wish them both a long and happy retirement.

“I am delighted to have been appointed Chair of Morses Club. I look forward to driving the continued growth of the business as it consolidates its position as the UK’s largest HCC provider and seeks to capitalise on the growing success of its digital division to reach its full potential.”

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Interviews

Morses Club

Morses Club digital market opportunities going forward are immense (Interview)

Morses Club plc (LON:MCL) CEO Paul Smith joins DirectorsTalk to discuss preliminary results for the 53 weeks ended 29th February 2020. Paul explains how Covid 19 has changed the face of HCC for ever, what this means for the company and sector and Paul’s views on the importance of the digital division within the group.

https://vimeo.com/485842868

Morses Club is an established provider of non-standard financial services in the UK. The Group consists of Morses Club, the UK’s second largest home collected credit provider, and Shelby Finance Limited, Morses Club’s digital division, which operates under two online brands, Dot Dot Loans, an online lending provider, and U Account, which offers online e-money current accounts. The Group’s growing digital capabilities and scalable, highly invested IT platform has enabled the company to deliver an increasingly broad range of financial products and services to the non-standard credit market.

UK HCC is considered to be a specialised segment of the broader UK non-standard credit market. UK HCC loans are typically small, unsecured cash loans delivered directly to customers’ homes. Repayments are collected in person during weekly follow-up visits to customers’ homes. UK HCC is considered to be stable and well-established, with approximately 1.6 million1 people using the services of UK HCC lenders.

The HCC division is the second largest UK Home Collected Credit (HCC) lender with 221,000 customers throughout the UK. The majority of the Company’s customers are repeat borrowers and the HCC division enjoys consistently high customer satisfaction scores of 97%2. In 2016, the Club Card, a cashless lending product, was introduced and in 2019 the Company introduced an online customer portal for its HCC customers, which now has over 117,000 registered customers.

The Group’s growing digital division, Shelby Finance, operates under two online brands. Dot Dot Loans provides online instalment loans of up to 48 months to 20158 active customers. U Account is a leading digital current account provider offering an alternative to traditional banking by providing a fully functional agency banking service. U Account currently has c. 13365 customers.

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Morses Club

Morses Club CEO Paul Smith extraordinarily pleased with digitalisation strategy results (Interview)

Morses Club plc (LON:MCL) Chief Executive Officer Paul Smith joins DirectorsTalk to discuss its latest trading update. Paul explains how the company has performed since lockdown, changes implemented over the period, an accelerated shift towards the Company’s digitalisation and how Paul sees the rest of the year for Morses Club.

https://vimeo.com/438868687

Morses Club is an established provider of non-standard financial services in the UK. The Group consists of Morses Club, the UK’s second largest home collected credit provider, and Shelby Finance Limited, the company’s digital division, which operates under two online brands, Dot Dot Loans, an online lending provider, and U Account, which offers online e-money current accounts. The Group’s growing digital capabilities and scalable, highly invested IT platform has enabled it to deliver an increasingly broad range of financial products and services to the non-standard credit market.

UK HCC is considered to be a specialised segment of the broader UK non-standard credit market. UK HCC loans are typically small, unsecured cash loans delivered directly to customers’ homes. Repayments are collected in person during weekly follow-up visits to customers’ homes. UK HCC is considered to be stable and well-established, with approximately 1.6 million1 people using the services of UK HCC lenders.

The HCC division is the second largest UK Home Collected Credit (HCC) lender with 224,000 customers throughout the UK. The majority of the Company’s customers are repeat borrowers and the HCC division enjoys consistently high customer satisfaction scores of 97%2. In 2016, the Morses Club Card, a cashless lending product, was introduced and in 2019 the Company introduced an online customer portal for its HCC customers, which now has over 109,000 registered customers.

The Group’s growing digital division, Shelby Finance, operates under two online brands. Dot Dot Loans provides online instalment loans of up to 48 months to 37,000 active customers. U Account is a leading digital current account provider offering an alternative to traditional banking by providing a fully functional agency banking service. U Account currently has c. 18,000 customers.

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Hardman & Co

Morses Club could see a doubling in both customers and wallet (Interview)

Morses Club plc (LON:MCL) is the topic of conversation when Mark Thomas Analyst at Hardman & Co joins DirectorsTalk. Mark explains why he has called his report ‘Value-added, customer-driven expansion from core’, the importance of company strategy being formulated by customers, what Morses Club is expanding into and the size of opportunity for the company.

https://vimeo.com/390461868

Morses Club is an established non-standard financial services provider, consisting of Morses Club, the UK’s second largest home collected credit provider, and Shelby Finance, which operates online lending through its Dot Dot brand and U Holdings Limited, which provides online current accounts.

UK HCC is considered to be a specialised segment of the broader UK non-standard credit market. UK HCC loans are typically small, unsecured cash loans delivered directly to customers’ homes. Repayments are collected in person during weekly follow-up visits to customers’ homes. UK HCC is considered to be stable and well-established, with approximately 1.6 million1 people using the services of UK HCC lenders.

The HCC division is the second largest UK Home Collected Credit (HCC) lender with 224,000 customers and 1,817 agents across 92 locations throughout the UK. The majority of the Company’s customers are repeat borrowers and the HCC division enjoys consistently high customer satisfaction scores of 97%2. In April 2016 its cashless lending product Morses Club Card was introduced, enabling its customers to buy online as well as on the high street. In February 2019, the Company introduced an online customer portal for its HCC customers, which now has over 30,000 registered customers.

Shelby Finance, via the Dot Dot brand has 36,000 active customers and U Holdings, through the U Account online current account brand has 16,000 customers. Dot Dot is a provider of 3 – 12 month online loans in the non-standard credit market.

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Hardman & Co

Morses Club – Interim FY’20 results: steady core, deal upside

Morses Club plc (LON: MCL) are the topic of conversation when Hardman & Co Analyst Mark Thomas joins DirectorsTalk. Mark explains what was learnt from the recent results, details on the historical core business, new business, what is different about MCL’s approach and whether there is any read across from the administration of QuickQuid.

https://vimeo.com/372601092

Morses Club is an established non-standard financial services provider, consisting of Morses Club, the UK’s second largest home collected credit (“HCC”) provider, and Shelby Finance, which operates online lending through its Dot Dot brand and U Holdings Limited, which provides online current accounts.

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Question & Answers

Credit | Loans

Morses Club Q&A: Opportunities going forward are immense (LON:MCL)

Morses Club plc (LON:MCL) Chief Executive Officer Paul Smith caught up with DirectorsTalk for an exclusive interview to discuss how COVID-19 has changed HCC, what this means for the business and the importance of a digital division within the company.

Q1: Preliminary results for the 52 weeks ended 29th of February 2020, just reflecting on the period, has COVID-19 changed the face of HCC forever?

A1: I believe it has actually, yes. As you may know, historically there have been approximately 400 independent home collect credit firms in the UK, the vast majority of those are quite regional, small family-owned businesses, without any form of external funding available to them. I believe that the vast majority of those firms, if not all of them, will not manage to emerge from the pandemic in any fit state to continue trading.

So, I think that the 1.6 million consumers that use home collect credit will be polarised around the three major players, ourselves, Provident Finance and Non-Standard Finance. I also believe that the vast majority of people now are completely open to the alternatives that are available to them from a digital perspective.

Historically, the vast majority of our cash issuance and our cash collections were face-to-face on the doorstep but over 70% of our business now is transacted digitally and I truly believe that consumers actually want that flexibility and that it’s changed the place of home collect credit for good.

Q2: I’ll come to digital in a minute, but what does all this mean for Morses Club and I suppose for the sector as well?

A2: I think it’s a great opportunity for us because over the past eight years, we’ve invested very, very heavily in our technology platform and none of us could have foreseen the effect of the pandemic.

Serendipity led us to a juncture where we were highly invested in our platform, it was very flexible and when the pandemic struck, we were able to react with a great degree of speed. We were able to place all of our people on a homeworking basis, we were able to furnish them with a requisite software and hardware that they needed to work on home, to have virtual dialler systems in place and to transfer the vast majority of our customer base onto our customer portal, which only 18 months had zero subscribers.

It’s now approaching 120,000 customers that use that portal to request loans, to repay loans, uh, and to keep up to date with communications with us. It’s transformed us permanently and we were very fortunate that we were already on the front foot from a technological point of view and we stole a genuine march on all of our competition.

Q3: Just coming back to digital, what are your views on the importance of a digital division within Morses Club?

A3: So, there are two things really with regards to digital, the first is that our traditional home collect credit business has been digitalised so you go back a few years and we were using paper forms, we were using handheld PDA’s and we transformed our home collect credit business into something that was far more digitally sophisticated.

We automated all of our old paperwork, processes, and procedures, and we’ve made it a slicker, lower cost business with much higher efficiencies so that that’s one side of our digital progress.

The other side of our digital progress has really been to invest in different markets, different demographics and different channels to market so, I already mentioned that home collect credit has 1.6 million consumers in the UK but there are a further 9 or 10 million consumers that have checkered credit histories that rely on non-standard credit products. They rely on online lending or guarantor loans or other forms of non-standard credits that are not home collect credit and we’ve managed to significantly drive into that market.

Last year, as our results show, we absorbed higher losses than we originally anticipated but the trading update for the current financial year, the year that will end at the end of February 2021, is showing that we’ve really made significant improvements in that part of our business. It is a tremendous growth market and it will really propel us forward in the future because it’s such a much larger market for us to serve.

So, for us, it makes all the difference, there are significantly less competitors in that market now because they were bedevilled by their history in payday lending and therefore, they weren’t subject to lots of claims and lots of redress from the regulators. We’d never been in that market so we don’t suffer from that kind of legacy issue.

I’m confident that we have a 10 or 11 million consumer market that is more or less being served by only a handful of suppliers, ourselves and maybe two or three others so the opportunities for us going forward are immense.

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Money Lending

Morses Club Q&A: Profitable trading year to date (LON:MCL)

Morses Club plc (LON:MCL) Chief Executive Officer Paul Smith caught up with DirectorsTalk for an exclusive interview to discuss their latest trading update, changes implemented during COVID-19, digitalisation and how he sees the rest of the year for the company.

Q1: A trading update just out, Paul, how has Morses Club performed since lockdown in March?

A1: It’s been a very pleasing performance, the whole company adapted to the homeworking  set of circumstances extremely well. One, I think, of the major reasons for that is because we’d spent the last four to five years investing properly in the digital platform upon which the business was based and that gave us a more fleet of foot ability than most of our competitors to switch over to a new way of working very quickly.

So, all of the key performance indicators of customer satisfaction, of profitable lending year to date of good, strong, solid collections in both home collect credit and our digital businesses and the ability to very quickly move back into adopting new customers. In our digital business, this is something that we never stopped, we carried on lending to brand new customers, ever since locked down. All of those things were within our gift to embrace almost immediately following the government’s announcements.

Q2: So, I imagine that you’ve had to change your way in which you operate, what changes have you had to implement?

A2: Some of the things that we had to do, clearly, agents couldn’t go out and visit customers right from the word go which meant that we very quickly had to convert customers into using our online portal and the total number of customers using that now is 109,000. At the end of the financial year, which is the end of February 2020, there was 78,000 people using that portal.

We were able to collect repayments via the portal, we were able to direct our customers to pay point stores  to manage collections through that channel and then as soon as the government permitted, we were able to go out and lend to existing customers.

The quality of that existing customer lending has been extraordinarily strong because the vast majority, something in a region of 19% of those customers are sitting in our very top performing repayment bands, what we call Bands A, B & C, people that we would happily relend to again in the future.

So we focussed very quickly on our collections to make sure that that cash was still flowing into the business, we leveraged our technology to do that, as I’ve said via the customer portal and via pay point and then as soon as it was permissible by the UK government, our agents were given the option, and the vast majority of them took the option up, to start visiting their customers again.

Those customers that really only could because of technological capability or just out of personal choice, repay using cash and that’s strengthened our cash receipts performance and also customers that wanted to borrow in cash and that has boosted our performance in terms of relending.

There was a very strong uptake, a very strong coming together between our agents, our customers and another good example of the symbiotic relationship that exists between those two groups.

We’ve had some structural challenges in the business, obviously, including staff working from home, but also we’ve reviewed our property portfolio and we’ve looked at new and innovative ways of embracing call centre technology, which is something that we were said we would do before COVID really hoved into view. We’d spotted problems with our dialler system and we were in pursuit of mending those & importing a new dialler system into the mix.

That’s really allowed tremendous efficiencies in both home collect credit and digital and has led to a performance in home collect credits where we think, that coming into the end of August 2020, we should be back to pre-COVID collection kind of numbers. In our digital business, we’re exceeding our COVID plan by 20% so we’re operating at 120% of planned plan collections.

So, all of those changes have really impacted both sides of our business in a tremendously positive way and with no impact on customer satisfaction. We’ve continued to talk to customers all the way to this process, we’re still scoring 97% in terms of customer satisfaction with us as an organisation and when we asked the customers how satisfied they are with the agent force, they’re scoring 99% satisfaction with them, which bearing in mind the backdrop that we have here, is a tremendous performance.

Q3: It sounds like you’ve had a really busy period and it’s actually paying off, has this period accelerated company shift towards digitalisation?


A3
: Undoubtedly. The digital offering within home collect credit has helped us to lift and shift a lot of that technology and a lot of the security behind it and a lot of the engagement routines over into home collect much sooner than we had envisaged.

We’ve been delighted with our customers reception of that, as I’ve said 109,000 customers now actively using the portal, which is very much more than 50% of our whole customer base now, given that we’ve shrunk our customer base down in home collecting credit to 184,000 customers which is a 16% reduction from the last year end. That’s only to be expected really because you’re not doing any new customer lending, initially, although we are now of course, we’ve only just started to reengage on that level.

What that means is that you’re collecting out customers on certain customers are going into impaired status and default status through no fault of their own, being impacted by the COVID problem, and therefore there’s bound to be a shrinkage but that acceleration from 78,000 customers on the portal to 109,000 in a very short space of time is testament to how intuitive that system is and how easy to understand.

We’ve continued with our restructuring of Shelby and the diversification strategy that we exposed all the way back to our original IPO in May 2016 and the results there I’m extraordinarily pleased with. Sales are pretty much bang on, with where we budgeted in our COVID plan and, as I’ve already mentioned, our collections are 120% of plan so the quality of that lending is undeniably strong as it is in our home collect credit business.

Q4: Paul, how do you see the rest of the year for Morses Club?

A4: I’m very pleased with where we’ve got to right now and, as our statements says, we’ve been profitably trading year to date and we’ve accepted no government funding, we haven’t furloughed anybody and obviously we will continue along that path.

What I’m expecting is that home collect credit now that we’re lending to new customers and we’ve restarted our marketing engine, will continue to grow, and prosper and bring on new customers. I think that there will be an influx of customers that used to just about qualify for prime lending potentially coming into our market which will swell our available market in home collected credit. I think that we need to still have a careful approach to that and make sure that it’s prudent lending and that it is compliant lending and commercially sensible, which of course we’re doing.

In the digital business, we’ve employed that that methodology all the way through that business’s development and we’ve made some technological tweaks which, as the statistics I’ve already quoted testify to, have had a major positive impact.

So, I think both home collect credit will now grow and prosper and start to journey back towards its pre-COVID and in digital, I think that that will go from strength to strength and its development will be very much more accelerated than had been previously climbed. That is because of that social demographic shift that has been imposed upon society since COVID struck, people are now much more comfortable with arm’s length transacting and having more digital interplay with providers and that they take that as the new norm.

Soo the way in which we’re developing that business for banking and for unsecured credit, I think fits right in with people’s new view of how commerce is transacted in the new world.

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Hardman & Co

Morses Club Hardman & Co Analyst Q&A (LON:MCL)

Morses Club PLC (LON:MCL) is the topic of conversation when Hardman and Co’s Analyst Mark Thomas caught up with DirectorsTalk for an exclusive interview.

Q1: You called your recent note “Value-added, customer-driven expansion from core”, what can you tell us about that?

A1: Morses Club’s October results highlighted the strength of its traditional and core business in Home Collect. That division showed operational efficiency improvements, the appropriate use of technology and improving credit generating double-digit underlying profit growth, despite a stable market. Importantly, the agent-driven model uses technology to improve performance and unlike some others has not changed the model to meet technology.

In our note, what we focused on was MCL’s strategy to expand from this strong core business. The strategy is driven by extensive customer surveys and could see a doubling in both the number of customers and the share of wallet over the medium term. Investment is being paced to balance short- and long-term profitability.

Q2: It sounds like you think how the strategy was formulated from customers is important. Why?

A2: Some companies formulate their strategy from the CEO’s perception of what customers may want. Others, like MCL, dive deep into the customers’ actual preferences through surveys, feedback and behavioural analysis. We believe the latter is a more robust approach to setting a strategy to meet customer demand.

MCL’s CEO, in the recent results meeting, advised that the proposition now being advanced was derived from more than 100 surveys over several years. While the core HCC business has many attractions, it is clear that there is significant potential to retain and win more customers and serve a greater part of their wallet than offering this product in isolation.

We note that, in its recent Capital Markets day, Provident Financial reported many of the same customer demands, while outlining its approach to Provident Direct.

Q3: So, what is the company expanding into?

A3: Morses is rolling out two major products to its customer base (online loans and current accounts) as well as developing a customer portal with a broad range of services. The product areas were transformed by acquisitions in 2019 – in online lending with CURO Transatlantic and in current accounts with U Holdings Limited. Both brought to Morses Club key product systems, experience and data, which can then be applied to both new customers but also in many cases across Morses Club existing customer base.

Looking at the online lending business : i) historically, CURO delivered very strong growth in this area; ii) the acquired analytics have been based on huge datasets of customers; iii) intermediaries are always looking for new suppliers of credit; iv) the potential market is huge; v) we believe that, if economic conditions weaken, a number of peripheral players will withdraw; and vi) the redress for historical mis-selling is likely to put pressure on some other lenders in the same way as it did on CTL.

Q4: And how big is the opportunity for Morses Club?

A4: There are three aspects to consider.

First, how much of the customer wallet can Morses Club serve. MCL advises that, for HCC customers, home collect is, on average, only 27% of their total debt. Customers additionally hold nearly 20% in credit cards and overdrafts, 11% in unsecured personal loans, a couple of percent in high-cost, short-term credit, and the balance in things like store cards, catalogue debt, motor finance, etc. The expanded product and distribution range now offered is believed to serve 59% of the customer wallet, compared with 27% in HCC alone.

Second is retaining customers who may have left Morses Club to take up other products elsewhere. For MCL, around 40,000 customers (ca.20%) leave every year, although, over time, around 16,000 of these will ultimately return to the company for credit at some future date. While some of the 24,000 permanent leavers no longer need credit, the vast majority take credit from other providers at a lower cost, as their credit records have improved.

Finally, there are totally new customers who would never have taken the home collect product and having options for younger customers with the same financial needs is an opportunity for MCL[?]. Financially, management expects the online business alone to deliver an extra 5-10% to adjusted pre-tax profits in FY’22 while strategically it creates options for growth which home collect alone cannot offer.

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Hardman & Co

Morses Club Analyst Q&A “Clear customer-demand-driven strategy”

Morses Club (LON:MCL) is the topic of conversation when Hardman and Co’s Financial Analyst Mark Thomas caught up with DirectorsTalk for an exclusive interview.

Q1: What lessons did you learn from the recent Morses Club
results?

A1:
The company’s core HCC division once again delivered a strong performance.
Market volumes remain subdued, but 11% underlying profit growth has been
delivered, with efficiency gains and good credit (20% reported adjusted
growth). The acquired businesses’ performances required incremental investment,
and initial lending appears slightly behind track, but these issues are
short-term and management has reiterated its stretching guidance for FY’20 and
FY’21. We also note the cash collected from CTL loans at acquisition is £11m,
against an £8m consideration.

Looking forward, management has outlined a clear, customer-demand-driven strategy in its area of competitive advantage. 

Q2: It sounds like a game of two halves between
the core business and new ones. What can you tell us about the historical core
business?

A2:
Adjusted profit before tax in the core business was up 20.2% to £13.1m
(1HFY’19: £10.9m). There has been a continued focus on quality business, which
has helped to reduce impairment as a percentage of revenue to 18.5% (1HFY’19:
21.4%). This has also seen a small reduction in customer numbers (224k vs.
1HFY’19’s 229k), but average balances increasing (August 2019 £607 vs. £590 in
August 2018). Agent numbers are down to 1,817, from 1,942 in 1HFY’19, but 97.5%
of agent rounds are fully staffed. The average agent book has increased with
technology-driven efficiency improvements. 
This has further reduced the cost/income ratio to 57.5% (1HFY’19:
58.6%).

MCL also reported the successful launch of the customer portal, with 30,000 customers registered in the first six months, and 40,000 by end-September. The £2.2m rise in HCC profits was assisted by a 27-week period (vs. 26 weeks in prior year), which the company advises contributed £1m to profit and a small benefit to the cost ratio. Overall, we characterise these trends by saying double digit underlying profit growth in challenging markets is a highly credible performance, and reflects, we believe, payback for historical investments in technology and the good integration of self-employed agents.

Q3: And in the new businesses?

A3: The
scale of pre-tax losses in 1HFY’20 (adjusted £3.5m, statutory £5m) was higher
than we had expected, driven by a number of factors, primarily in the online
business.

These include i) £1.2m of interest, which
had been incorrectly accrued ahead of acquisition, was only identified once the
company was able to get into the books in detail. ii) The expected loss of
customers during the period when systems were being migrated to the MCL
platform and it was unable to offer the full service. In the presentation,
there was also a focus on the nature of product and the loss of customers, who,
on acquisition, had very short facilities; and iii) The integration appears to
have taken more work than we had expected.

It is, however, important to put these experiences into perspective. They are either historical or short-term and, while the 1HFY’20 performance may have been disappointing, it is crucially important that management has reiterated its goals, including monthly run-rate profitability by February 2020, 200k new loans p.a. by end- February 2021 and FY’21 profits of £3m-£5m (pre-interest). We believe the weak share price on the day of results reflected below expected performance in new businesses and the recovery in share price since reflects the market being convinced that the medium term outlook remains strong.

Q4: Many sub-prime lenders have strategically
moved out of their core and failed. What can you tell us that is different
about MCL’s approach?

A4: Their strategic vision is driven by customer-driven demand. From its dozens of customer surveys, it has identified how customers want to be served (primarily mobile, in addition to agent), which products they want and what they are willing to pay. With the development of online lending products, current account overdrafts and, in due course, credit cards, MCL believes it can address 59% of the customer wallet, compared with just 27% from HCC alone. This has required investment, but the pace of investment has been proportionate to the business. It has not incurred the losses seen by, say, Satsuma, and its acquisition of CTL has already seen more cash collected than consideration paid.

Q5: Finally, we saw the recent administration of
QuickQuid. Any read across for Morses Club?

A5: None.
Pay-day lending has no bearing on MCL, its model or financials. It is a totally
different product with different customers and risks. Additionally, they do not
face any compensation for historical mis-selling of pay-day lending which has
proved crippling for both Wonga and QuickQuid. While there is no downside read
across the opportunity to service those specific customers is also limited so
no upside either.

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Analyst Notes & Comments

Hardman & Co

Morses Club Value-added, customer-driven expansion from core

Morses Club (LON:MCL) recent results (see our 21 October note, Interim FY’20 results: steady core, deal upside) highlighted the strength of Home Collect (HCC). The division showed operational efficiency improvements, the appropriate use of technology and improving credit. It also generated double-digit underlying profit growth, despite a stable market and without compromising the agent-driven model. In this note, we explore MCL’s strategy to expand from this strong core business. The strategy is driven by extensive customer surveys, and could see a doubling in both the number of customers and the share of wallet over the medium term. Investment is being paced to balance short- and long-term profitability.

  • Strategy: Over many years, MCL has surveyed its customers to find out what products they want and how they want them delivered. From this, MCL has identified opportunities to retain more customers, acquire new ones and target 59% of the customer wallet against a current proposition that serves 27%.
  • Outlook: MCL has stretching targets for the online lending business, with guidance of pre-tax, pre-interest profits in the range of £2m-£4m for FY’22 (likely pre-tax £1m-£2m). The current account business opportunities are incremental to this. Both acquisitions require integration, which is the FY’20 primary focus.
  • Valuation: We detailed our valuation approaches and sensitivities in our initiation note of 2 February 2017, Bringing home collect into the 21st century. The range in absolute valuation methodologies is now 167p to 197p (unchanged). Superior medium-term growth from new businesses provides further upside potential.
  • Risks: Credit risk is high (albeit inflated by accounting rules), but MCL adopts the right approach to affordability and credit assessment. Regulatory risk is a factor, although high customer satisfaction suggests a limited need for change. MCL was the first major HCC company to receive full FCA authorisation.
  • Investment summary: Morses Club is operating in an attractive market, and it has a dual-fold strategy that should deliver an improved performance from existing businesses and new growth options. It conservatively manages risk and compliance, especially in new areas. The self-employed agent network is a competitive advantage in credit management. The valuation appears an anomaly. We forecast a 6.3% FY’20 dividend yield, with cover of 1.6x (adjusted earnings).

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Hardman & Co

Morses Club Plc Steady, reliable core, growth in new business lines

Hardman & Co Report Report Downloads

Morses Club Plc (LON:MCL) We took two key messages from the FY’19 results announced on 2 May. First, the core business is now in a reliable, steady state with modest organic volume growth. It should, however, generate profit growth from acquisition opportunities and technology-driven efficiency improvements. As always, the agents remain core to the group but incremental returns can be generated from managing them better. Conservatively managed growth is being driven from the new business lines. Management has indicated it expects FY’22 pre-tax profits of between £3m and £5m from its recent online lending acquisition (consideration was £8.5m). Our absolute valuation range is 181p to 243p.

FY’19 results: Looking through the accounting noise, revenue was up 6%, credit issued by 2.4%, and the net loan book by 6%. Efficiency improved with adjusted pre-tax profits up 14.6%. Impairments remained well controlled (22.4% of revenue, like-for-like FY’18, 22.5%). Customer numbers increased by 3% to 235k.

Outlook: The CTL deal could introduce some noise (both real and accounting). It will transform the profit and loss account, being a lower-cost but higherimpairments business than home collect. Although FY’19 was a beat against our forecasts, we have at this stage left our FY’20 forecast EPS largely unchanged.

Valuation: We detailed a range of valuation approaches and sensitivities in our initiation note, Bringing home collect into the 21st century, published 2 February 2017, and do so again in the section below. The range in absolute valuation methodologies is now 181p to 243p (previously 169p to 223p).
Risks: Credit risk is high (albeit inflated by accounting rules) but MCL adopts the right approach to affordability and credit assessment. Regulatory risk is a factor, although high customer satisfaction suggests a limited need for change. MCL was the first major HCC company to receive full FCA authorisation.

Investment summary: MCL is operating in an attractive market, and it has a dualfold strategy that should deliver an improved performance from existing businesses and new growth options. MCL conservatively manages risk and compliance, especially in new areas. The agent network is the competitive advantage over remote lenders. The valuation appears an anomaly, and we forecast a 5.7% February 2020 dividend yield, with cover of 1.6x (adj. earnings).

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Hardman & Co

Morses Club Plc Home collect and online lending acquisitions

Hardman & Co Report Report DownloadsOn 26 February, Morses Club Plc (LON:MCL) announced the acquisition of the online lender CURO Transatlantic for a consideration of ca.£8.5m. Curo has a net loan book of ca.£10m and 50,000 customers. This deal is strategic in that it transforms the online lending business with a much-enhanced decision engine, infrastructure, carefully selected customers and all for a discount to book. MCL also announced the acquisitions of Eccles Savings and Loans, on 31 January, and of Hays Credit LLP, on 12 February. These add ca.5,700 customers (there were 230,000 at MCL’s 1H FY’19) and may be characterised as a resumption of add-on deals in the core business.

Impact on FY’20: Eccles and Hays should enhance statutory earnings by ca.2% and we have seen a further small uplift from the trading statement. However, in its first year, Curo will reduce them. The net effect to our adjusted FY’20 pre-tax profit estimate is a reduction of 6% to £23.2m, from £24.6m.

Outlook: Curo is expected, by us and MCL, to be earnings enhancing in FY’21 as the business rebuilds its book post takeover. Perhaps more important are the strategic benefits from the deal, which include online scale economies, improved data analytics, robust new infrastructure and lower investment cost.

Valuation: We detailed a range of valuation approaches and sensitivities in our note, ‘Bringing home collect into the 21st century’, published 2 February 2017, and do so again in the section below. The range in absolute valuation methodologies is marginally reduced to 169p-219p.

Risks: Credit risk is high (albeit inflated by accounting rules) but MCL adopts the right approach to affordability and credit assessment. Regulatory risk is a factor, although high customer satisfaction suggests a limited need for change. MCL was the first major HCC firm to receive full FCA authorisation.

Investment summary: MCL is operating in an attractive market and has a dual-fold strategy that should deliver improved performance from existing businesses and new growth options. MCL conservatively manages risk and compliance, especially in new areas. The agent network is the competitive advantage over remote lenders. The valuation appears an anomaly, and we forecast a 4.4% February 2019 dividend yield, with cover of 1.7x (adj. earnings).

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Hardman & Co

Morses Club Plc Sustainable growth from focus on quality

Hardman & Co Report Report DownloadsThe 4 October results confirmed steady growth, controlled risk and delivery in line
with expectations. Double-digit underlying revenue and earnings growth was
generated from stable customer numbers, and achieved more efficiently with
fewer agents. The Provident Financial opportunity is now embedded and
management can focus on new growth initiatives. We reviewed MCL’s focus on
quality in our 19 July 2018 note, Quality Street, highlighting how conservatism runs
throughout MCL’s lending, accounting, agents, customer selection and new
product development. Our absolute valuation range is now 179p to 223p.

1HFY’19 results: We believe investors should focus on like-for-like KPIs, not
the statutory accounting numbers. On an LFL basis, revenue was up 12%, the
net loan book +8%, adjusted PBT +14%, and adjusted EPS +14%. The cost
income ratio improved from 59.6% to 58.5%. Impairments were 21.9% of
revenue (21.6%).

Outlook: We have made only modest (upward) revisions to estimates. With the
former Provident Financial agents, managers and customers significantly
embedded, management can now focus on expanding new product areas
(online loans, the customer portal, and Morses Club Card), and home collect
acquisitions.

Valuation: We detailed a range of valuation approaches and sensitivities in our
note, Bringing home collect into the 21st century, published 2 February 2017,
and do so again in the section below. The range in absolute valuation
methodologies is now 179p to 223p. Peer measures range from 144p to 201p.

Risks: Credit risk is high (albeit inflated by accounting rules) but MCL adopts
the right approach to affordability and credit assessment. Regulatory risk is a
factor, although high customer satisfaction suggests a limited need for change.
MCL was the first major HCC company to receive full FCA authorisation.

Investment summary: Morses Club is operating in an attractive market, and it has a
dual-fold strategy that should deliver an improved performance from existing
businesses and new growth options. MCL conservatively manages risk and
compliance, especially in new areas. The agent network is the competitive
advantage over remote lenders. The valuation appears an anomaly, and we
forecast a 5.3% February 2019 dividend yield, with cover of 1.7x (adj. earnings).

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