Allergy Therapeutics plc
Allergy Therapeutics

Allergy Therapeutics share price, company news, analysis and interviews

Allergy Therapeutics Plc are a market leading, pioneering immunology business with specialist experience in the research and development of allergy treatments.

Allergy Therapeutics believe that transformational outcomes for patients are achieved by directly treating the cause, rather than just managing symptoms. 

What makes Allergy Therapeutics different?

Allergy Therapeutics ultra-short course treatments consist of 6 injections compared to daily tablets or an average treatment in the market of a 12-15 course of injections. Our approach offers the simplicity of fewer injections, increased tolerability and demonstrated efficacy.

The company’s adjuvant technologies improve therapies by allowing them to increase efficacy. They are further developing this concept in their specialist business, Bencard Adjuvant Systems; improving health and evaluating vaccinations for infectious diseases and cancer treatments.

Allergy Therapeutics plc

Their values have created a culture based around vision, commitment and humanity. The company take extraordinary ideas and bring them to market – enhancing treatments and transforming people’s lives.

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Allergy Therapeutics plc

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Allergy Therapeutics

Allergy Therapeutics provides key updates on Grass MATA MPL and VLP Peanut clinical programmes

Allergy Therapeutics (LON:AGY), the fully integrated commercial biotechnology company specialising in allergy vaccines, today announced that the first subject has been dosed in the pivotal Phase III G306 trial, to evaluate the efficacy and safety of Grass MATA MPL, the Group’s short-course subcutaneous allergen-specific immunotherapy (SCIT) candidate, that aims to address the cause of symptoms of allergic rhinoconjunctivitis due to grass pollen.

  • Innovative short-course grass pollen immunotherapy with best-in-class potential

  • If successful, Grass MATA MPL will be the first subcutaneous and aluminium‑free short-course allergy immunotherapy approved in the US

  • Topline safety & efficacy data for Grass MATA MPL expected Q4 2023

  • Safety, tolerability and efficacy data for VLP peanut expected 2023

Grass MATA MPL incorporates MicroCrystalline Tyrosine (“MCT®“) adsorbed allergoids, and the innovative adjuvant Monophosphoryl-lipid A (“MPL”). This innovative technology only requires patients to receive six injections prior to the grass allergy season to be protected.

The pivotal Phase III G306 trial is a multi-centre, randomised, parallel group, double-blind, placebo-controlled clinical trial to confirm the efficacy and safety of Grass MATA MPL. The clinical trial will be conducted in the US and Europe at approximately 120 clinical trial sites. Data readout is planned for Q4 2023.

Previously announced top-line results from the G309 exploratory field trial showed meaningful and statistically significant reductions in symptoms due to grass pollen allergy and in the use of relief medications after six SCIT injections with Grass MATA MPL during peak grass pollen season.

In addition, the first subjects have been screened and are poised to receive the Group’s innovative, short-course peanut allergy vaccine candidate, VLP Peanut in the Phase I PROTECT trial. The first-in-human study is evaluating the safety and tolerability of VLP Peanut in healthy and peanut allergic adult subjects and exploring preliminary proof of efficacy. Plans remain on track for data in 2023.

Update on production and funding

Further to the announcement on the 28th October, work is continuing on cost control and tight capital management following the impact of the pause in production. This includes reviewing all funding options and managing the working capital of the Group.

Manuel Llobet, CEO of Allergy Therapeutics, commented: The start of our pivotal Phase III G306 trial investigating the efficacy and safety of our Grass MATA MPL marks the culmination of our efforts to bring this innovative treatment to millions of patients affected by grass allergies in both the US and Europe. We were encouraged by the results of our short-course grass pollen immunotherapy in the highly successful G309 exploratory field trial and look forward to advancing the development of this innovative treatment. The start of the VLP Peanut PROTECT trial is a significant milestone and a testament to the hard work of the Allergy Therapeutics team, developing innovative approaches that have the potential to transform the way we treat and manage allergies.”

Grass MATA MPL is being developed as a pre-seasonal subcutaneous immunotherapy product for the treatment of allergic rhinitis and/or rhinoconjunctivitis.

Grass MATA MPL contains an extract of 13 grass pollens modified with glutaraldehyde to form allergoids that reduces the reactivity with immunoglobulin E (IgE) antibodies without a reduction in other important immunological properties, such as T-cell reactivity. The allergoid is adsorbed to microcrystalline tyrosine as a depot adjuvant system formulation. Monophosphoryl lipid-A (MPL), is included as an adjuvant to increase the immunogenic effect of the immunotherapy and to enhance the switch from an allergen specific helper T-cell Type 2 (Th2) to helper T-cell Type 1 (Th1) like immune response.

Allergy Therapeutics plc is an international commercial biotechnology company focussed on the treatment and diagnosis of allergic disorders, including aluminium free immunotherapy vaccines that have the potential to cure disease. The Group sells proprietary and third-party products from its subsidiaries in nine major European countries and via distribution agreements in an additional ten countries. Its broad pipeline of products in clinical development includes vaccines for grass, tree and house dust mite, and peanut allergy vaccine in pre-clinical development. Adjuvant systems to boost performance of vaccines outside allergy are also in development.

Formed in 1999 out of Smith Kline Beecham, Allergy Therapeutics is headquartered in Worthing, UK with more than 11,000m2 of state-of-the-art MHRA-approved manufacturing facilities and laboratories. The Group, which employs c.600 employees, is listed on the London Stock Exchange (LON: AGY).

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Allergy Therapeutics

Allergy Therapeutics appoints two Non-Executive Directors

Allergy Therapeutics plc (LON:AGY), the fully integrated commercial biotechnology company specialising in allergy vaccines, has today announced the appointments of Anthony Parker and Zheqing (Simon) Shen as Non-Executive Directors of the Company, with immediate effect. Anthony represents Southern Fox Investments Limited and Simon represents ZQ Capital Management Limited acting through its affiliate SkyGem Acquisition Limited, both significant shareholders of the Company.

Anthony has worked in investment banking and fund management for over thirty years and, as Founder and Partner of Beagle Partners LLP, which advises Southern Fox, has managed or advised on multiple UK innovation technology investments. He is Founder and Chairman of Argonaute RNA Ltd, a UK-based research company developing safe and reliable methods of temporarily silencing target genes in different tissue cells. Prior to this, Anthony held senior roles at ING Barings and was an equity analyst for Cazenove & Co. He holds an Investment Management Certificate from the Institute of Investment Management and Research.

Simon founded the investment and advisory firm, ZQ Capital, in 2015. Prior to that he spent more than a decade as an investment banker advising international companies on their capital markets activities. He was Managing Director and Head of China Financial Institutions Group at Barclays from 2011 to 2015, following earlier roles at Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers and McKinsey & Company. He has a BA in mathematics and economics from Wesleyan University.

Peter Jensen, Non-Executive Chairman of Allergy Therapeutics, commented: “On behalf of the Board I would like to welcome Anthony and Simon. Southern Fox and ZQ Capital have been long-standing and supportive shareholders of Allergy over many years, and I have no doubt Anthony and Simon will be invaluable members of the Board, bringing extensive business and innovation sector experience.”

Additional Disclosures

The following information is disclosed pursuant to Rule 17 and Schedule Two paragraph (g) of the AIM Rules of Companies.

Mr Anthony Michael Parker (aged 60) holds, or has held, the following current and former directorships and partnerships in the past five years:

Current Directorships and Partnerships Former Directorships and Partnerships in the previous five years
Argonaute RNA Limited
Bristol Bluegreen Limited  
Beagle Partners LLP  
CBDerma Technology Limited  
Inverpharma Limited  
Las Lilas Limited  

Mr Parker holds 275,000 ordinary shares in the capital of the Company. Mr Parker does not hold any options, rights to subscribe or other interests in such shares.

Mr Zheqing (Simon) Shen (aged 43) is, or has been, a director or partner of the following companies or partnerships during the past five years:

Current Directorships and Partnerships Former Directorships and Partnerships in the previous five years
ECC HK Holdings Limited ECC UK Holdings Limited
Fortune Yacht Limited Innobeauty Global Limited
KFM Kingdom Holdings Limited
Nu Skin Enterprises, Inc.
Ping An ZQ China Growth Opportunity Ltd
Sky Venture Partners LP
Skygem Acquisition Limited
Skygem Global Limited
Skygem International Holdings Limited
Skygem Investment Limited
Skygem UK Holding Limited
ZQ Asset Management Limited
ZQ Capital Hong Kong Holdings Ltd
ZQ Capital Hong Kong Limited
ZQ Capital Limited
ZQ Capital Management Limited
ZQ Capital Services Limited
ZQ Evergreen Partners LP
ZQ Partners Ltd
ZQ Skygem Investors LP
Z-Trans Technology Company Limited

Mr Shen holds 90,000 ordinary shares in the capital of the Company. In addition, ZQ Capital, through its affiliate Skygem Acquisitions Limited holds 173,650,037 ordinary shares in the capital of the Company and also holds warrants over 16,666,666 ordinary shares. Mr Shen is managing partner and founder of ZQ Capital Mr Shen does not hold any other shares in the capital of the Company, nor any options, rights to subscribe or other interests in such shares.

Save as set out above, no further information regarding Anthony Parker or Zheqing (Simon) Shen is required to be disclosed pursuant to Rule 17 and Schedule Two paragraph (g) of the AIM Rules for Companies.

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Allergy Therapeutics

Allergy Therapeutics appoint Martin Hopcroft as Interim Chief Financial Officer

Allergy Therapeutics plc (LON:AGY), the fully integrated commercial biotechnology company specialising in allergy vaccines, today announced the appointment of Martin Hopcroft to the role of Interim Chief Financial Officer (CFO). Martin will report into Chief Executive Officer, Manuel Llobet.

Martin brings significant financial experience across multiple industries. He served as CFO of Novasep SA, a supplier of pharmaceuticals and biopharmaceuticals, and during his tenure Novasep won a major contract with AstraZeneca to support the large-scale production of the active substance of its adenovirus vector-based COVID-19 vaccine. Martin previously served as CFO of formerly listed Cambian Group plc, a provider of specialist residential and educational services for children and young adults, and of Consort Medical plc, a medical devices company.

The appointment of Martin Hopcroft follows the announcement on 26 May 2022 that Nick Wykeman, CFO, will leave Allergy Therapeutics on 30 November 2022 to pursue non-executive roles. The Group is continuing its search for a permanent CFO and will make a further announcement in due course.

Manuel Llobet, Allergy Therapeutics Chief Executive Officer, commented: “Martin is a highly experienced executive and it is my pleasure to welcome him to Allergy Therapeutics’ senior management team. I also want to take this opportunity to again thank Nick Wykeman for his work and dedication over the past six years and I wish him the very best for his future.”

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Allergy Therapeutics

Allergy Therapeutics to resume production at the Freeman facility in mid-November

Allergy Therapeutics plc (LON:AGY), the fully integrated commercial biotechnology company specialising in allergen immunotherapy, has announced that it will resume production at the Freeman facility, part of its Worthing, UK manufacturing site, on 14th November.

The Group announced a short-term voluntary pause in production following an internal review of its current operating processes. This pause was part of the Group’s previously communicated ongoing programme to improve the robustness of its quality systems and build capacity across its manufacturing facilities but was accelerated when it became clear that the capacity was unable to cope with the commercial demand.

The pause in manufacturing occurred during a period of peak production prior to the start of the pollen season in the spring. As a consequence, whilst it is too early to determine the exact impact, it is currently estimated that revenue will be between approximately 13% and 18% lower than market expectations of circa £80m at current exchange rates for the year ended 30 June 2023. Business expenses for the same period are currently expected to reduce by around £3m.

Work is continuing to further minimise the impact through cost control and tight working capital management and delay in non-critical capital spend.

At the expected reduced levels of underlying profit, excluding research and development costs, the terms of the NatWest revolving credit facility would not allow use of the facility.

Manuel Llobet, CEO at Allergy Therapeutics, stated: “We took the difficult decision to temporarily pause production at the Freeman facility to continue delivering the highest standards of quality systems. We are now pleased to have a clear timeline to resume our UK manufacturing activities.”

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Interviews

Allergy Therapeutics plc

INTERVIEW: Allergy Therapeutics Plc Acarovac Sales could top $500m – Zeus Capital

Allergy Therapeutics Plc (LON:AGY) is the topic of conversation with Dr Gary Waanders Director of Healthcare Research at Zeus Capital. Since Allergy Therapeutics announced today that it has obtained approval to begin a phase I clinical trial of its Acarovac MPL vaccine in Spain, Gary explains what the product designed to do, what CTA clearance means for the product’s development and on the basis of a fully approved vaccine the sort of sales he thinks might be possible.

https://vimeo.com/204010294

Gary is an experienced healthcare analyst having worked in the City since early 2001. He joined Zeus in January 2014 and is responsible for research coverage of all our Life Sciences corporate clients which include companies active in biotechnology, specialty pharmaceuticals, medical technology and clinical research services. He has worked on numerous IPOs and M&A mandates in the UK and Europe and has previously worked at Nomura Code Securities and KBC Peel Hunt. Prior to becoming an analyst, he managed an R&D group at a Canadian biotech company and before that he was a post-doctoral fellow at the Ludwig Institute for Cancer Research, Lausanne Branch, Switzerland. His academic training includes an MBA from the University of Durham Business School and a PhD in Immunology from the Faculty of Medicine at Monash University (Australia) where he also obtained a BSc (Hons) in Immunology and Biochemistry.

Allergy Therapeutics plc is an international specialty pharmaceutical company focussed on the treatment and diagnosis of allergic disorders including immunotherapy vaccines that cure disease. The Company sells proprietary products and third party products from its subsidiaries in nine major European countries and via distribution agreements in an additional ten countries. Formed in 1999 out of Smith Kline Beecham, Allergy Therapeutics is headquartered in Worthing, UK with MHRA-approved manufacturing facilities. The Company employs c.495 employees and is listed on the London Stock Exchange.

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Allergy Therapeutics plc

INTERVIEW: Zeus Capital Upgrade forecast for Allergy Therapeutics Plc

Allergy Therapeutics Plc (LON:AGY) is the topic of conversation when DirectorsTalk caught up with Dr Gary Waanders the Director of Healthcare Research at Zeus Capital. Gary explains whats driven growth in the 6 months to Dec 31st, affects on the full year and what other things should we be focusing on for Allergy Therapeutics.

https://vimeo.com/200355548

 

Allergy Therapeutics Plc is an international specialty pharmaceutical company focussed on the treatment and diagnosis of allergic disorders including immunotherapy vaccines that cure disease. The Company sells proprietary products and third party products from its subsidiaries in nine major European countries and via distribution agreements in an additional ten countries. Formed in 1999 out of Smith Kline Beecham, the comapy is headquartered in Worthing, UK with MHRA-approved manufacturing facilities. The Company employs c.495 employees and is listed on the London Stock Exchange (LON:AGY).  The company had its target price increased by analysts at FinnCap on Thursday from GBX 40 to GBX 43. The firm currently has a “buy” rating on the stock, however a number of brokers have issued stock reports with the consensus target price being 64.67 GBX.

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Question & Answers

Allergy Therapeutics plc

Allergy Therapeutics plc Q&A with Zeus Capital’s Director of Healthcare Research (LON:AGY)

Zeus Capital Director of Healthcare Research Dr Gary Waanders caught up with DirectorsTalk for an exclusive interview to discuss Allergy Therapeutics plc (LON:AGY)

 

Q1: Now, Allergy Therapeutics announced today that it has obtained approval to begin a Phase I clinical trial of its Acarovac MPL vaccine in Spain, what’s the product designed to do Gary?

A1: It’s essentially for the treatment of house dust mite allergy and so Acarovac MPL is an enhanced version of the company’s existing vaccine Acarovac Plus and this is currently used as a named patient product for the treatment of allergies caused by house dust mites. House dust mite allergy is a common problem in many countries, including the US and Europe, and is growing in accordance in certain Asian countries like China. House dust mite allergies typically allergic rhinitis causes year-round sneezing, runny nose, itchy eyes and so, the usual signs of allergic rhinitis, whilst these symptoms can adversely impact day to day life the bigger concern is that this allergy can progress to a more serious condition known as allergic asthma, which can be life-threatening.

So, Acarovac MPL takes the strengths of the existing Acarovac Plus product and enhances this through the addition of MPL which is the company’s vaccine adjuvant and an adjuvant is like an accelerator for immune responses. MPL improves the performance of vaccines and it is used in the company’s Pollinex Quattro range of vaccines for seasonal allergies such as hay fever caused by pollens. So, by treating allergic individuals with the Acarovac MPL the company hopes to safely and effectively induce a rapid reduction in the symptoms of house dust mite allergy and do this using many fewer injections than conventional injected vaccines for these sorts of allergies.

 

Q2: What does the CTA clearance mean for the product’s development?

A2: Ordinarily, there’s considerable work involved in gaining clearance from the regulators to take new products into clinical trials. So, before such a clearance is granted, companies have to demonstrate that such a product will be safe, that there are reasonable grounds to believe that it will be effective and that the product can be consistently produced according to the high standards required for pharmaceuticals so that’s GMP manufacturing.

For Allergy, this is a relatively straight forward thing because it already uses different components of these vaccines in some of its existing vaccines so allergoid from house dust mite is already included in Acarovac Plus. The other key components of this vaccine so microcrystalline tyrosine or MCT and the MPL itself are also used on a fairly regular basis in the products sold throughout Europe by Allergy Therapeutics. So, assuming successful study, the vaccine will require further trials in order to obtain the full regulatory approval for commercial sales, we believe that, with favourable results, such an approval might be possible in 2023 which seems like a long way away. In the meantime, assuming this study gets positive results, that will enable Allergy Therapeutics to launch the vaccine and sell it on a named patient basis similar to the Acarovac Plus but this would be an enhanced version.

 

Q3: Now, you’ve mentioned that house dust mite allergy is a relatively common allergy, so if we’re talking of a fully approved vaccine, what sort of sales do you think might be possible for Allergy Therapeutics?

A3: In our usual mode of conduct here, we’ve modelled sales for the products following a launch which we estimate could be in 2024 in the USA and Europe so there’s still roughly 6 or 7 years to go before it might complete that development for full regulatory approval. So, from that point of launch to peak sales, as we refer, we think which might occur in 2030, we believe sales could exceed roughly $500 million with $200 million of those in Europe and $300,000 in the US. Clearly, that’s a long way off but in the meantime the product would be available on a named patient basis so the company would be able to provide the product for specific patients if a doctor prescribes it.

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Allergy Therapeutics plc

Allergy Therapeutics plc Q&A with Zeus Capital’s Healthcare Research Director Dr Gary Waanders (LON:AGY)

Zeus Capital Healthcare Research Director Dr Gary Waanders caught up with DirectorsTalk for an exclusive interview to discuss Allergy Therapeutics plc (LON:AGY)

 

Q1: Allergy Therapeutics plc H1 trading update showed strong sales growth in the 6 months to December 31st, Gary what’s driven that growth?

A1: So, according to the trading update sales in H1 are expected to come in at £40.4 million compared to £29 million in the same period last year so that’s roughly 39% growth on a ‘as reported’ basis and about 18% at constant currency. So, the main drivers of that performance were firstly, organic growth in market share in Germany, Austria, Spain and the Netherlands and that’s based mainly on the competitive profile of the company’s injected allergy vaccines on the Pollinex Quattro platform.

Secondly, certain key European competitors have been weakened by their own issues: ALK (ALK-Abello A/S – CPH:ALK-B) had to temporarily shut down some of its manufacturing facilities for its injected vaccines as these needed upgrading. Allergopharma is feeling the effects of, I’d say, strategic uncertainty as its German parent, Merck (Merck KGaA – ETR:MRK), is looking to divest the business. Stallergenes (Stallergenes Greer PLC – EPA:STAGR), in France, is coming out of its own manufacturing problems last year and has not regained market share that it lost to competitors like Allergy Therapeutics plc.

Finally, the relative strength of the euro vs the pound, the vast majority of Allergy’s sales are euro-denominated so it benefited from that weakness.

 

Q2: Are these factors also likely to have a full-year effect?

A2: Yes, we believe so and because of that we’ve actually upgraded our sales forecast in the current year from what was £54.8 million up to £61 million. We expect gross margins will also have improved as the majority of the costs of goods sold of Allergy Therapeutics’ production is actually UK-based labour. Against this with the pound trading in the range of 1.15-1.20 EUR, we expect to see the European costs increasing so particularly in R&D, in sales, marketing and distribution. So overall, our forecasts have been updated to reflect these changes.

 

Q3: Now, aside from the current trading, what other things should we be focussing on for Allergy Therapeutics plc?

A3: The company, over the past few years, has invested quite heavily in European operational infrastructure and in R&D so whilst significant clinical trials and results from those are not expected in 2017, we do hope to see evidence of new clinical trials starting to recruit patients. So probably the most important of those is a key European Phase III trial of the Pollinex Quattro Birch Pollen vaccine, this will be starting during the year as well as further trials on the Pollinex Quattro Grass Pollen which will include a small safety study being conducted in the USA and those findings Phase II trial in Europe. So, plenty of pipeline development news there, not results but certainly study initiations.

 

Allergy Therapeutics plc (AGY) is a pharmaceutical company. The Company focuses on the treatment and prevention of allergy with aluminum-free products. The Company’s segments are Central Europe, which includes segments, such as Germany, Australia, Switzerland and the Netherlands; Southern Europe, which includes Italy and Spain; the United Kingdom, and Rest of World.
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Analyst Notes & Comments

Hardman & Co

Allergy Therapeutics Record sales and a COVID-19 wildcard

Allergy Therapeutics plc (LON:AGY) is a long-established specialist in the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of allergies. Pollinex Quattro (PQ) is an ultra-short-course subcutaneous allergy immunotherapy (SCIT) platform, which continues to make strong market share gains in a competitive environment. Several products using the PQ platform are in late-stage development in order to move them to full registration under new EU and US regulations. Another reassuring trading update states that the company has hit new records and has the resources in place to fund its pending R&D investment programme required to get its products approved by the regulators.

  • Strategy: AGY is a fully integrated pharmaceutical company focused on the treatment of allergies. There are three parts to its strategy: i) continued development of its European business via investment or opportunistic acquisitions; ii) the US PQ opportunity; and iii) further development of its pipeline.
  • Trading update: Sales in the past quarter were affected by the difficulty associated with patients attending hospitals during the COVID-19 lockdown. Despite this, June returned to “normal” and underlying sales in fiscal 2020 have grown 7% to £78.2m. AGY has strong gross cash of £37.0m to fund its future R&D investment.
  • COVID-19 test: With financial support from government and official institutions in Spain, AGY has invested into expanding its microbiological diagnostic facilities (AT Immunolab) to run COVID-19 tests. At full capacity, its real-time SARS-COV-2 test is expected to be able to perform 200,000 tests a year.
  • Risks: Over the next two years, AGY will be running several important clinical trials which, by their very nature, have binary outcomes. This is mitigated to some extent by the company’s long-standing experience. Forecasts must be viewed as provisional in the event of a second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Investment summary: Despite COVID-19, Allergy Therapeutics has reported another record year for sales in fiscal 2020, with June reassuringly returning to “normal” levels. Operating efficiencies and the timing of R&D investment have led to a strong EBIT performance. AGY is trading on an EV/sales of only 0.80x 2021E, which, in our view, is too low for a company with a long and profitable product history, and well below the multiples commanded by its direct competitors.

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Hardman & Co

Allergy Therapeutics plc Consistent first-half revenue growth

Allergy Therapeutics PLC (LON:AGY) is a long-established specialist in the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of allergies. Pollinex Quattro (PQ) is an ultra-short course subcutaneous allergy immunotherapy (AIT) platform, which continues to make strong market share gains in a competitive environment. Several products using the PQ platform are in late-stage development, with the aim of moving them to full registration under new regulatory frameworks in both the EU and the US. AGY has just announced another solid operating performance driven by top-line growth in its traditionally strong first half, with associated positive cashflow.

  • Strategy: AGY is a fully integrated pharmaceutical company focused on the treatment of allergies. There are three parts to its strategy: continued development of its European business via investment or opportunistic acquisitions; the US PQ opportunity; and further development of its pipeline.
  • Interim results: Underlying product sales were very solid again in 1H’20, rising 9% to £50.5m (£46.7m) and maintaining AGY’s competitive position in Europe. The strong period-end gross cash position benefited from the £3.2m settlement of legal costs with Inflamax and supports fully the Phase III Grass programme.
  • Pipeline update: Progress has been made towards the start of two upcoming trials. First, AGY is taking a stepwise approach to the US Grass MATA MPL Phase III study, with the initial part starting in autumn 2020. Secondly, peanut vaccine GMP scale-up is underway, with the first GMP batch successfully manufactured.
  • Risks: The risks inherent to subjective clinical trial outcomes were clear with the Phase III Birch trial results. However, AGY includes objective secondary endpoints of protective immunity in trials, and is in discussion with EU regulators to ensure robust protocols that support global registration plans going forward.
  • Investment summary: Over the past year, we have highlighted consistently that Allergy Therapeutics is at an exciting juncture. While continuing to invest in its profitable European SCIT business, it is leading the race to have its SCIT products fully approved and regulated as biologicals in the US. Despite this, the current EV/sales appears too low for a company with a long and profitable product history, and well below the multiples commanded by direct competitors.

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Hardman & Co

Allergy Therapeutics Sales growth well above market average

Allergy Therapeutics (LON:AGY) is a long-established specialist in the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of allergies. Pollinex Quattro (PQ) is an ultra-short course subcutaneous allergy immunotherapy (AIT) platform, which continues to make strong market share gains in a competitive environment. Several products using the PQ platform are in late-stage development, with the aim of moving them to full registration under new regulatory frameworks in both the EU and the US. AGY has just announced another solid operating performance and market share gains in its traditionally strong first half, with associated positive cashflow.

  • Strategy: AGY is a fully-integrated pharmaceutical company focused on the treatment of allergies. There are three parts to its strategy: continued development of its European business via investment or opportunistic acquisitions; the US PQ opportunity; and further development of its pipeline.
  • 1H’20 trading: Underlying product sales were very solid again in 1H’20, rising 9% to £50.5m (£46.7m), suggesting further European market share gains. The gross cash position at the period-end was exactly in line with our forecast, at £39.7m, benefiting from the £3.2m settlement of legal costs with Inflamax.
  • Trial update: The statement also highlighted progress made with two upcoming trials. First, AGY is taking a stepwise approach to the US Grass MATA MPL Phase III study, with the initial part starting in 2020. Secondly, peanut vaccine GMP material is being manufactured to support a Phase I trial.
  • Risks: The risks inherent in subjective clinical trial outcomes were clear in the Phase III Birch trial. However, AGY prudently included an objective secondary endpoint of activity, which will be used in EU regulatory discussions about the way forward, and to adjust the pending US Phase III trial protocol.
  • Investment summary: Over the last year, we have highlighted consistently that Allergy Therapeutics is at an exciting juncture. While continuing to invest in its profitable European SCIT business, it is leading the race to have its SCIT products fully approved and regulated as biologicals in the US. Despite this, the current EV/sales appears too low for a company with a long and profitable product history, and well below the multiples commanded by direct competitors.

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Hardman & Co

Allergy Therapeutics plc Successful legal outcome removes uncertainty

Allergy Therapeutics plc (LON: AGY) is a long-established specialist in the prevention, diagnosis and treatment of allergies. The Pollinex Quattro (PQ) platform, an ultra-short-course subcutaneous allergy immunotherapy (SCIT), continues to gain market share despite its availability in the EU on a ‘named-patient’ (NP) basis only. Several products are in clinical development, with the aim of moving the platform to full registration under the new regulatory framework. AGY has issued a positive trading update highlighting the strong operating performance of the group. Also, it has reached a successful settlement of an ongoing legal dispute with one of its third-party R&D contractors.

  • Strategy: AGY is a fully-integrated pharmaceutical company focused on the treatment of allergies. There are three parts to its strategy: continued development of its European business via investment or opportunistic acquisitions; the US PQ opportunity; and further development of its pipeline.
  • Trading update: Underlying sales growth appears close to expectations, rising 8.7% to £74.0m (£68.3m). Although further Brexit costs (-£0.5m est.) have dented any prospect of gross margin improvement, this has been more than offset by lower spend on marketing (+£1.0m), G&A (+£1.0m) and R&D (+2.0m).
  • Legal settlement: AGY has settled a legal dispute with Inflamax Research Inc (Inflamax) regarding the inconclusive US Phase II Grass MATA MPL trial. Inflamax has paid AGY $7.4m/£6.0m in full settlement of the dispute. In addition, Inflamax has agreed to pay a ‘substantial portion’ of AGY’s legal costs.
  • Risks: AGY’s primary risk lies in the timings of the regulatory approval process, mostly outside of its control, related to the PQ Birch immunotherapy and the European TAV process for full approval. Ongoing trials do represent a risk, but this is limited by the products’ use on a named-patient basis.
  • Investment summary: The share price continues to recover from the overly pessimistic view of the PQ Birch trial primary endpoint failure in March and the positive trading update and news that the legal dispute has been settled will help. Despite the recovery to date, AGY is trading on an EV/sales of only 0.93x 2019E, down to 0.86x 2020E – well below the multiples commanded by its direct competitors.

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Data policy – All information should be used for indicative purposes only. You should independently check data before making any investment decision and or seek professional advice. DirectorsTalk cannot guarantee that the data is accurate or complete, and accepts no responsibility for how it may be used.