Alien Metals Ltd
Alien Metals

Alien Metals share price, company news, analysis and interviews

Alien Metals Ltd (LON:UFO) is a global minerals exploration and development company that will shortly make the transition to iron ore producer.

The company was formed from Arian Silver in late 2018, retaining some of the companies more valuable Mexican projects before embarking on an acquisition led strategy, headed up by an excellent geological team and targeted entirely on Western Australia.

Alien Metals Ltd Investor Presentation

Hancock – Iron Ore

  • Maiden JORC compliant resource of 10.4Mt @ 60.4% Fe DSO (Direct Shipping Ore)
  • Near 1:1 strip ratio and minimal processing gives a capex of <US$30m and opex of <US$60/t.
  • Anglo American have exclusive right to negotiate up to US$15m in funding and 100% offtake
  • 8+ year mine life at 1.2mtpa is likely to be extended given ~80-% of tenement is unexplored.
  • Acquisition of access to Great Northern Highway and securing of a 600,000tpa bunker at Utah point (through JV with E25) completes transport chain

 

Brockman – Iron Ore

  • Historic sampling had an average grade of 62% Fe, Alien’s own due diligence sampling returned grades as high as 65.4%.
  • The tenement contains parts of historic BHP deposits and is bordered by projects owned by FMG and Rio Tinto.
  • The project is still heavily underexplored and thus has potential to considerably increase the size of Alien’s Iron Ore resources.

Vivash Gorge – Iron Ore

  • FMG has defined a high grade Iron Ore Mineral Resource of 28Mt @58.8% Fe over a neighbouring tenement that abuts Alien’s tenement.
  • FMG has historically drilled up to the Vivash tenement boundary returning high grade results such as 70m @ 60.5% Fe.
  • Programme of Work (POW) for drilling of up to 150 RC holes been granted which allows Alien immediate access

Elizabeth Hill – Silver

  • Pre-JORC Compliant Resource of 4.05Moz Ag at 200g/t Ag cut off
  • 1.2Moz @ 2195 g/t Ag in it’s single year of operation (1999-2000)
  • Bonanza Grade Silver hit during Alien’s initial drilling with 9.7m @ 8326 g/t Ag from 15m and 1.7m @ 19,865g/t Ag from 23m
  • Historically Australia’s highest grade silver mine noted for its exceptional native silver nuggets including Australia’s largest ever silver nugget the 145kg Queen Karratha
  • Mining ceased in a single day due to a fall out of JV partners thus leaving a considerable untapped resource
  • Alien has erected headframes over both existing shafts and has purchased necessary equipment for dewatering, camp construction and mine re-opening

Munni Munni – PGM

  • Historic JORC 2004 compliant resource of 24Mt @ 2.9g/t PGM and Gold for 1.14Moz Pd, 0.83Moz Pt, 152Koz Au and 76Koz Rh (Rhodium)
  • First time in 30 years that Munni Munni and Elizabeth Hill projects have been consolidated into a single coherent tenement, under 100% ownership.
  • Potential for a much larger, high value, multi-commodity resource many of which appear on critical mineral lists.
  • One of the largest undeveloped primary PGM Resources in Australia.

Share this page

Twitter
LinkedIn
Facebook
Email
WhatsApp
Alien Metals Ltd

Alien Metals share price

Fundamentals

52 Week High / Low

News

Interviews

Alien Metals Pinderi Hills Financial Analyst Charlie Archer’s Expert Analysis (VIDEO)

Alien Metals (LON:UFO) is the topic of conversation when Financial Analyst at Mining AIM, Charlie Archer joins DirectorsTalk Interviews to discuss the company’s Pinderi Hills.

https://vimeo.com/988259316

In this interview, Charlie Archer, a financial analyst at Mining Aim, delves into the current and future prospects of Alien Metals Plc. He highlights the strategic importance of their Hancock Iron Ore Project and the exploratory potential of the Pinderi Hills Project in Western Australia. Charlie discusses the various assets within Pinderi Hills, including platinum group elements, gold, silver, nickel, copper, and lithium, shedding light on their significant contributions to Alien Metals’ growth. He also elaborates on the company’s joint venture with Errawarra Resources for lithium exploration and the potential outcomes of this partnership. This discussion provides a comprehensive overview of Alien Metals’ exploration and development strategy, offering valuable perspectives for investors and stakeholders.

Read More »

Alien Metals focus on bringing Hancock into production (VIDEO)

Alien Metals plc (LON:UFO) Executive Chairman Rod McIllree joins DirectorsTalk Interviews to discuss and update on Exploration and Corporate Activities for its Australian Operations.

https://vimeo.com/800495818

Rod provides us with an overview of the company, its strategy and explains why he came on board and invested heavily. We discover why Hancock was chosen as the flagship project, key milestones investors should look for in the coming months, how has today’s RNS changed the company’s understanding of the Elizabeth Hill project, the geological significance and how having Elizabeth Hill and Munni Munni unified in a coherent tenement under 100% ownership benefits their advancement.

Alien Metals (LON:UFO) is a global minerals exploration and development company that will shortly make the transition to iron ore producer. The company was formed from Arian Silver in late 2018, retaining some of the companies more valuable Mexican projects before embarking on an acquisition led strategy, headed up by an excellent geological team and targeted entirely on Western Australia.

Read More »

Question & Answers

Alien Metals

Alien Metals analyst on Recent Developments and Future Prospects (LON:UFO)

Alien Metals Limited (LON:UFO) is the topic of conversation when Investment Strategy’s Financial Analyst Charlie Archer caught up with DirectorsTalk for an exclusive interview.

Q1: Charlie, what are the key reasons behind the significant drop in Alien Metals’ share price over the past year?

A1: Well, I think there’s a few reasons there. As per usual in the mining space, no matter what anybody tells you, there’s always going to be delays in getting project financing over the line. Companies always seem to be too optimistic about how long it’s going to take, dotting all those I’s, crossing those T’s. I think it is now finally going to get there very shortly but the past few months haven’t been kind.

On top of that, the former CEO leaving at the end of last year hasn’t helped sentiment and beyond that, until you get that financing in place, the only way really to keep going is share placings, which aren’t helping sentiment either.

It’s worth bearing in mind that this project financing for Hancock is something which very, very hopefully is going to be sorted out within the next two or three months, and assuming that happens, it will all be water under the bridge.

Q2: Are there any remaining underlying problems that still need to be addressed?

A2: Underlying problems that need to be addressed? I don’t think so.

I think that you do need to get a new CEO in at some point, but the company is very keen to make sure that it’s the right person that you get on board rather than jumping into whoever happens to be available at the moment. Beyond the issues that they’ve had in terms of delays, I think that’s it.

I think we now have a decent job for the loss of the project. We know roughly how much money is going to be needs to be spent, we know that this is something that should be relatively easy to finance.

All that put together means the problems of the past should be in the past, and we can now look forward.

Q3: How does the company’s current market cap compare to its potential value based on the Hancock Iron Ore project?

A3: Well, I think it’s probably best to compare to the other companies within the region, at the moment, to me, it looks like UFO is severely undervalued.

So, we compare to Phoenix Resources listed on the ASX, this is another Western Australia DSO project, similar kind of grade, similar tonnage. Phoenix has 9.8 million tonnes at 64.4% iron and then main construction of this project started in September 2020, after some fairly weak sentiment, and then three months later in December 2020, it was producing and then sales in February 2021. Its share price just rocketed.

CSA Global has been appointed to consult on Hancock and this was the firm that was integral to Phoenix’s success and rise to AU$250 million.

By comparison, Alien Metals is suffering along with a really, really small market cap. You also have companies like Macro Metals or Arrow Minerals, GWR Group, Arrow controls the Simandou North Iron Project and it’s got a market cap of $90 million, but it’s only in the exploratory phase, it’s nowhere close to thinking about building a mine. GWR Group, it just sold the remainder of Wiluna West, and that held 130.3 million tonnes, again, iron grade of 60% and it sold it for AU$30 million and a $2 DMT royalty.

So, I think in terms of when you’re looking at Alien Metals, and you’re saying, well, you know, they haven’t got this over the line. A lot of these companies are exactly the same thing. They’ve had the same kind of sentiment problems and by comparison, their market cap is only maybe between £8 million and £9 million. It fluctuates at the moment.

Q4: What’s the significance of the JORC resource for the Hancock Project?

A4: Well, the JORC resource, spilling the actual number out here, it’s 8.4 million tonnes at 60.2% iron and that includes an upgraded indicated resource, that’s really important, the indicated part of 4.5 million tonnes at 6.2, and a mining inventory of 3.9 million tonnes at 58.5% iron.

Now, there’s two things here. The first is the JORC resource. JORC, as you know, anyone listening here, is a very protected term, it’s not something a company can just rubber stamp essentially. It’s a standard benchmark that’s set to assets.

So, Alien Metals has a really valuable project that is worth more than its market cap at the moment and that’s an objective statement. I don’t think that’s something that’s subjective, that’s just what any analyst would say, and yes, and this grading, the tonnage is comparable to all these other companies in the area that have much higher market capitalisations.

Now, the upgraded indicated resource at 4.5 million tonnes at 6.2%, an indicated resource is a very, very strong confidence that the iron is there, that the value is there, and that you have an asset that you’re going to be able to deliver economically. Again, it’s just a question of getting the financing to get it out of the ground.

Q5: How does the iron ore quality and reserve size, how does that compare to those other projects?

A5: In terms of the iron ore quality, what you’re looking for is the 60% which is the magic number, and Alien’s joint resource is at 60.2.

So if you can look at Phoenix, it’s 64.4%, so it’s a little bit higher but then other deposits in the area, so GWR, they have a 60% iron, so it’s slightly lower and there’s a few that are even lower than 60%, in the mid-50s. So, the grade is perfectly adequate.

In terms of tonnage, 8.4 million tonnes, nothing to be sniffing at, and perfectly viable.

Q6: What are the projected financial metrics for the project?

A6: So, you’re looking at a mine rate of 1.25 million tonnes per annum, and that’s only on 20% of the tenement that’s been explored so far. It’s a six-year mine life, and then a really, really low 1 to 2.2 strip ratio on the ridge ore bodies, this is incredibly low. It’s an open pit operation, so it should be relatively simple. You’re looking at just mobile crushing, screening, and processing, it’s a DSO project., none of the tricky bits that come later.

In terms of capital requirements, CapEx, AU$28 million but the C1 operating costs less than US$65 US per tonne, and OpEx all in, US$85 per ton.

So you take that all together,  you’ve got a pre-tax net present value of au$146 million Australian dollars, with the typical 10% discount rate, and a pre-tax internal rate of return of 133%.

Now, that’s just the standard numbers that we’ve got there. If you’re using a 10 million tonne mining inventory with a high case and an extended mine life, you could be looking at a pre-tax IRR that goes from 133% to as high as 228%.

So, when we’re looking at the financial metrics here, this is all very attractive. Even in the base case scenario, you’re looking at a payback period of less than 12 months. So, if you’re approaching potentially a joint venture partner, or a bank for a term sheet, they’re going to get their money back potentially in less than a year.

Unlike other projects, like lithium projects, for example, or gold projects, obviously very common and popular in Western Australia, this is the DSO shipping project, it’s something where it’s very difficult for the mine to go wrong or for the mine build to have any kind of complexity, in my view. Whereas we all know that when you’re building a lithium operation or a gold operation, it tends to be the case that there’s delays or problems, just because they’re just harder materials to work with.

Q7: How does the location of the Hancock project benefit its potential development and operation?

A7: It’s West Australia so it’s the best location pretty much in the world for mining. Yes, you could argue Nevada in the US, or perhaps Athabasca in Canada, maybe Ontario but this is the jurisdiction that people want to be in.

If you look at the neighbours, neighbouring Hancock, there’s Rio Tinto, there’s Fortescue, there’s Hancock Prospecting, Gina Reinhart, there’s BHP. These are all titans, they’ve got world class deposits clustered around, and once operations are underway, I think there’s reasonable potential for a buyout with one of these majors, because they have such large processing plants of excess capacity.

It seems to me that, once you’re proving practically that this iron ore is, something that you can sell and make money out of, it’s something they’re going to be interested in.

Rio Tinto and BHP both explored this tenure at one point. The asset, again, it’s just 17 kilometres from Newman, which is a combined BHP-Rio Tinto mining hub, and just over 400 kilometres from Port Hedland, essentially, all this iron ore is going to be sent to China, generally, and Port Hedland goes direct to China. So, in terms of location, fantastic, and on top of that, you could even put in a third-party rail, only 100 kilometres away.

So yes, if you were looking on a map, you’d probably put a pin and say, this is exactly where we want to be and that’s one thing, I think nobody, no investor could say they have any problem with.

Q8: There must be challenges or risks, though, what kind of challenges does the company face just bringing the project into production?

A8: Well, assuming they get financing over the line, it’s really tricky because this is building a mine, right, so there’s always going to be some kind of challenges. Anybody who’s ever built a mine, anyone you’ve ever spoken to who’s done it, there’s always something that crops up, that might delay you a couple of weeks, or parts break, or maybe you have a slightly higher requirement than you thought, there’s always something.

But this is a direct shipping ore project. You’re literally drilling holes, pulling down explosives, blasting the rock out of the ground, crushing it, sorting it a little bit, and then sending it on its way.

There’s very little, technically that I believe, can go wrong with a DSO project and that’s why they’re so popular in Western Australia, because particularly for financing, but just in general, it’s quick payback time, it’s technically not difficult.

When you ship the ore off to generally, to plants in China, or potentially, it might be the case that this ore goes to one of those mining hubs that I just mentioned, and gets processed further over, later on in the day. But actually, technically, once you’ve got the mine up and running, I can’t see any kind of problems, other than the standard typical ones that tend to crop up.

Q9: Why is Alien Metals also exploring silver and PGMs and how might that affect their focus on the Iron Ore project?

A9: The first thing to bear in mind is that Pinderi Hills is not the flagship so the corporate focus right now is getting project financing through for Hancock.

Having said that, what you have at Pinderi Hills with Elizabeth Hill and the silver is really, really interesting. It’s important to note that lithium on the assets on the exploratory portfolio is being funded via a joint venture with Errawarra and therefore, there’s almost no downside risk for that joint venture because it’s being funded by another partner.

In terms of looking for silver, looking for PGMs, we don’t know this yet, but it seems to me that they might want Hancock to be run predominantly by whichever joint venture partner they bring on board. So, there’s a good chance there’s going to be excess management, time capacity to focus on Pinderi once that’s all up and running.

Again, it’s exactly what I was saying before about a DSO operation, even if they’re running it themselves, it’s not something that’s particularly difficult to organise and to run. It’s unlikely that you’re going to run into any kind of complications that require director time.

Q10: Just speaking about management, what is the current status of the management team, and how might it impact the company’s strategy and operation without the CEO that you mentioned earlier?

A10: Well, they have a mining manager now and plenty of mining companies in Australia work well without a CEO. My view is that they need to get a Chief Executive Officer in but having had the last one leave at the end of the last year, when people potentially weren’t expecting it, they don’t want to rush in and just pick anybody. They want to get the right person for the job.

That makes sense to me because they do have significant technical and financial experience on the management team already and so they have the luxury of waiting to get the right person in for the top job.

I have seen and I think you’ve probably seen it as well, where a CEO leaves and you just get whoever happens to be available and it’s a disaster. Like in any job, what you want to do is you want to take your time, you want to find the right person, and when the right person comes knocking, you then put them in and then everything goes according to plan.

Q11: How does the iron ore market, particularly in relation to demand from China, impact the company’s prospects?

A11: It’s difficult because the iron ore that’s being sent to China, almost all the iron ore in Australia is imported to China, China is the largest iron ore importer in the world and that iron is predominantly used on the real estate market, which comprises, depending on who you talk to, between 30-40% of China’s GDP. So it’s incredibly important.

Real estate has taken a huge hit during the pandemic and going forward into 2024 and China is doing its level best to help the real estate markets, to prevent any kind of crash. If you’ve ever heard of these large Chinese housing corporations that’ve got run into difficulty, and China is trying to help, but at the same time doesn’t want to cause a bubble in its own economy so it’s a delicate balance.

It seems to me that as long as the Chinese economy is growing over time, and it continues to grow regardless of the headlines, and as long as the US-China trading relationship continues to remain strong, you’re going to see continued significant demand for iron ore from China.

I suspect perhaps the only potential issue might be that the Chinese implement some kind of pricing mechanism, they say this is the max we’re going to pay for iron ore. It’ll still be something profitable, but it might be they decide that if it ever gets too hot, then they’re going to stockpile it, and just wait for the prices to come back down.

I would say that the only potential geopolitical real risk, and China and the US have been butting heads for a long time about various problems, but it’s Taiwan and I think there’s that Damocles over the global economy of China that decide to invade Taiwan or take it by force. Obviously, huge implications for geopolitics and for artificial intelligence as well but I think that that’s the black swan scenario that anyone should really be worrying about when it relates to DSO iron ore projects in Western Australia.

Q12: What comparisons can be made between Alien Metals and other similar companies in the iron ore sector?

A12: Iron ore DSO, as I’ve said a couple of times now, it’s a very common strategy. If you want to go down the further processing and steel production, it becomes a lot more complex, there’s so much more that can go wrong. Obviously, because of that, it tends to be that you can make more money.

When it comes to a company with, at the moment now, less than £10 million market cap, what you really want is a very easy project with very compelling economics.

Now, when you look at like similar companies in the iron ore sector, there’s a few that I’ve mentioned up there, but the reality is that when we’re looking at Western Australia, they are surrounded by Rio Tinto and BHP and Hancock Prospecting, all of these giant companies are all in the same kind of sector. They’re all making masses of money and I think there can be, in the small cap space in particular, this idea that by not going down the generating steel route or processing it further, you’re leaving profit on the table.

That’s probably fair to say, but at the same time, companies that go down the DSO, direct shipping or this route, because the plant is so easy to build, because it’s so easy to ship it to China, because you have a willing customer in China right there, you just have to get it 400 kilometres away to the nearest port, it’s very compelling.

It’s very easy to sell the story, it’s quite easy to get hold of finance. Having said that, getting hold of finance always takes far longer than anyone ever thinks. If you’ve ever spoken to a banker, you’ll know how difficult it can be.

Q13: Just thinking about finance, how does Alien Metals plan to finance the development of the project and what progress has been made in securing the financing?

A13: So, the general idea is, what do we want to see? We have Guy Robertson, who’s the Executive Director. The most recent update, this is on the 20th of June of this year, and it’s a direct quote from the RNS:

“Negotiations continue with potential funding partners with regards to the Hancock project”

Now, what does that mean? Yes, it could be a joint venture, it could be an earning of some kind, it could be a term sheet. Term sheets are really popular in this area of the world, it might be a simple term sheet but again, when you’re looking at the CAPEX requirement, it’s so small, and the payback time is so quick, getting potential funding partners isn’t the difficulty, it’s just the time it takes to have these things signed off, in the meantime, sentiment is struggling a little bit.

But again, just look at Phoenix, how quickly these things can rise, you start, you get the finance in place, you start building the mine, three months later, it’s built, and two months later, you’re starting to sell. In that time, the share prices are rocketing the whole time.

Now, we had a placing recently at a discount, which again, has hit sentiment a little bit, but now this is enough cash runaway to last for several months and it looks like it’s going to get done over this time.

A key piece of evidence, I would say the share prices are trading for 0.12p on the London Stock Exchange, but independent non-executive director, Ms. Elizabeth Henson, and her family, instead of cash shares, she was issued 6 million new common shares at 0.2p per share. So almost double, she took in payment in shares, the share price of where it is now so if that doesn’t tell you that there’s confidence, at least on the managerial level, that they’re going to get something over the line very soon, I don’t know what to tell you.

All of this together, compelling economics, the right place in the world, a very, very simple iron ore project, management happy to take payment in shares and a significant premium to what the current share price is, all together, this tells me that Alien Metals is going to get over the line over the course of the summer.

Q14: Charlie, one final question for you. What would you prefer outright sale, joint venture, or term sheet?

A14: It’s very tricky. When it comes to projects like these, there’s different trade-offs. What do you do? What do you choose?

An outright sale is very clean, I think it’s the best thing to say. If they come along and they say, right, we’ll buy this asset from you for three times what your market capitalisation is, and you have an exploratory portfolio, that can be very difficult to turn down.

At the same time, if you look at a joint venture, especially where your joint venture partner is very experienced, or perhaps one of the larger players in the region, and they’re taking over management of the mine, that’s a constant revenue stream for many years, which is going to be more than what you’d be paid, off that one-off payment, and sets the company up for a significant period of time.

An independent turnsheet is the most interesting, and I would say arguably the higher risk, very much higher reward choice because with an outright sale, you’re effectively getting a big wedge of cash, but whoever buys it from you is planning to make more money from it than what they paid you, right? That’s obvious.

With a joint venture partner, you’re giving up a chunk of the asset in return for financing and effectively a relatively stress-free life. With the independent term sheet, the general idea is that, yes, they have some kind of security, whoever gave the money to you would have some kind of security over Hancock.

At the end of the day, once the term sheet is paid off, the asset is yours, the profits are yours, but the risk is all yours as well.

My personal view, I would personally prefer a joint venture because I think it strikes the right balance between retaining as much of the possible profits as possible while minimising the risks. But I can understand why an independent term sheet might be the way to go in this particular asset, simply because DSO projects are so easy and because they have a management and mining team that knows how to do it.

So if this, for example, was a lithium project or a gold project, I would say don’t do the independent term sheet because the risks are too high, because we know that things that difficulties crop up when you’re building mines of those kind of assets. But because it’s a DSO project, I think potentially that might be the way to go as well but obviously that one is out of my hands.

Read More »
Alien Metals Ltd

Alien Metals now moving to a positive news flow footing (LON:UFO)

Alien Metals plc (LON:UFO) Executive Chairman Rod McIllree caught up with DirectorsTalk to discuss strategy, why Hancock is the flagship project, key milestones to look out for and updates on the Elizabeth Hill and Munni Munni projects.

Q1: Firstly, could you just give us a brief overview of the company and its strategy?

A1: I’m a relatively recent arrival to the Alien Metals team, I joined around August/September last year and I was really focused in on the iron side of the equation of this business.

One of the challenges that small companies face getting access to these sorts of regions, if you like, is they tend to be fairly well dominated by the larger players, you’ve got the usual suspects, BHP, Rio Tinto etc.

So, I think for us to actually have such a large and valuable land holding within these iron provinces, that’s still direct shipping, access to a multi-user port, low capex, low opex, all the ingredients here are for a project that’s really, once it’s up and going, is going to be quite an attractive little investment opportunity for us.

Q2: So, what was your reasoning for coming on board and then investing so heavily in the company?

A2: Look, I guess the simple answer to that is that, as I said, iron is a fairly simple proposition, you don’t need any upgrading, the infrastructure is already in place, we don’t have to build our own ports and processing etc., this is a direct shipping material.

I guess what really got me excited about Hancock was that I flew over the license in a helicopter from one end to the other, and one of the things that became very apparent very quickly is that these resources, in my mind, are only a very small part of the overall picture here. This is something that will continue to grow and grow and grow.

What the company now has focused on, because I guess this answers your question of what am I doing about the overall strategy of the business now, is that we have shifted our focus from being a multi-project company that incrementally moves their projects forward to now being singularly focused on bringing Hancock into production.

Now, with reference to the recent drilling, and I’m sure we’ll come to that in a second. One of the things, if investors remember back in September I did advise because the Munni Munni and Elizabeth Hill licenses are also, in their own sphere of influence, very significant assets as well, that we would be undertaking some drilling to test a few ideas that we had been working on at the time. What people are now seeing are these results starting to roll into market, we’ve got the recent release of the Elizabeth Hill drilling there, some really spectacular results there, confirms the thought process for what we anticipated. The geological guys have done a fantastic job there with that reinterpretation and we’re still waiting for the nickel and copper results on the eastern side of Munni Munni, so anything can happen there as well.

Q3: Why was Hancock chosen as the complete flagship project?

A3: Again, it comes back to simplicity. What these small companies represent is an opportunity to achieve a single outcome, you get one shot at these things generally. If you get your timing right, in terms of your commodity price, the cycle that you’re in, your jurisdiction, you’re permitting, your exploration, if all these things line up then what comes from that is a production profile here that is capable of running for potentially, in my mind, for a couple of generations.

So, that opportunity for a company like ours was obvious. When you sit down and you put all of these projects next to each other and you prioritise them in terms of expenditure or budgets or work programmes, whatever it might be, it becomes clear that Hancock is the standout. Again, because of its simplicity.

I think the other key part of this equation that people should really clearly understand is the economic benefit to the company, with it having access to that multi-user port, Port Hedland. These ports, you can’t build them to, well you can but they cost an enormous amount of money, you’re talking hundreds of millions of US dollars and supply lines, strains and delays etc., it might be 5 years before a new major port is built.

We have one sitting there that we can access immediately, and so what that means to us is if we can deliver our material to that port in an economic fashion, we have the opportunity to go into production very, very quickly here. So, what we have been doing, and this comes back into this idea that all the tenders now have been received, is that, for the last couple of months, and keeping in mind that it’s been Christmas and Australia, generally speaking, takes most of January off until Australia Day so that’s been a challenge as well, but we now have all of the economic inputs for our financial model, in terms of fixed price quotes from suppliers.

As we said in the RNS, these are in line, if not better than a lot of the costs that we had anticipated in that scoping study so we have some material updates to come out on Hancock over the next several months as we move through this permitting and mining license and into civil and site work and ultimately, to the first road train and the first boat. I think that what we have decided to do as an organisation, and I’ve mentioned this before in my previous interviews, is to move to a process whereby we update shareholders on what we have achieved rather than what we are going to do and what we anticipate will happen on certain timelines. I think one of the problems that we have here is that everybody’s familiar with the world we live in these days, a lot of things have changed and predicting timelines is quite difficult.

So, what has happened as a necessary consequence of that transition, from telling everyone what we’re going to do and then going off and doing it, hopefully we’re successful, to now telling people what has been done and these are the results, there is a period of time where there is not a lot of news flow, and we have just moved through that period where we’re now up to date and we are doing things and the outcomes of these deliverables and work programmes we can drop into the market.

So I think that’s one thing shareholders can take away, is that we are now moving to quite a positive news flow footing, in terms of things that are going to be completed as and when they’re done.

Q4: Just looking forward, what key milestones should investors actually be looking out for?

A4: The challenge for us when I first joined was getting a grip on the permitting timeline for Hancock, and this I guess is a hand in glove moment with my previous statement about saying things once they’re done, we are going to take this approach with our permitting as well.

We’ll be advising the market once it’s finished, once we have the permits, and once the mining license is issued. We’re not going to be giving any guidance because it’s as I said, very difficult to do. I think that we now have a clear line of sight on this process, we are in the midst of negotiations to get all of this settled, and you’re in a jurisdiction that is fully geared up for the exploitation of these types of resources and actively promote their development.

So, there is no headwinds that I see and the team sees, we’ve got a great team down there in Perth, headed up by Troy, we’ve got Bradley Toms running the exploration, the results of the recent programme there is a function of his and the team’s work. So, I think these projects will continue to evolve and Hancock will continue to be the primary focus. Every now and again, when we get a little bit of spare time, as you do when you’re dealing with permits, we might go back and have another look at some of these results with Elizabeth Hill and we might follow up, should the drilling from the nickel and copper at Munni Munni should that necessitate it, then we might follow up some of those results that we expect there as well.

So, I just think that this is a company that has some really good little assets here, and I have been buying the shares because I think over the very long term, once we implement our strategy and the visualisation of that strategy that I have, means that I see this stock as being extraordinarily undervalued, and I’m happy to put my money where my mouth is.

So, I think the next sort of 6-12 months, we’re going to see some really transformational  events for Alien Metals so I look forward to being part of that.

Q5: Now, you mentioned Elizabeth Hill, it’s famed for its high grade native silver, but how’s today’s RNS changed the company’s understanding of the project?

A5: This comes as a function of doing a lot of work as a young geologist in the jungles of the Pacific Rim, just north of Australia, and these high grade narrow vein occurrences of precious metals, whilst on their own if you just take that narrow vein approach, can be extraordinarily profitable, as evidenced by the previous mining of this, we’re up to a million ounces of silver nuggets and silver specimens were stripped out of that, what is effectively a silver chimney, if you like. I guess this is all driven by the grade of Elizabeth Hill, you do not get this accumulation of metal in such a short, small, little area without there being a mineralised halo or repetitions of those chimneys. Geologically, for the amount of metal, rich fluid that would’ve had to have gone through these conduits to deposit this metal, there cannot only be one of them.

So, we approached it from the point of view of, let’s from the bottom up, let’s look at everything that had been preconceived and how can we try and get some disruptive thinking into it. We did actually eight holes there, only one of them was successful in the sense that only one of them intersected the ore body, the other seven of which five were further to the north in one long fence, if you like, of holes, we were trying to extrapolate that contact shear zone to the north, none of those holes intersected structure or the contact itself. So, we know that it is still a live animal up that way, we will get to it again, two holes to the south to extend that ore body along strike and down dip. Actually because it was RC, actually ran into water ingress and even though we had the most modern and powerful air compressors on that, we were unable to hold the water at bay because you had such a hydraulic head from the mine there, and the water that sits in that old workings.

So, what we will do is we will go back in, as mentioned, we’ll drill those two holes using diamond, and if the drilling in and around these two holes that are yet to be completed, is any indication, you can expect more of the same. It’s my personal view that this project potentially could get very large, very quickly just with maybe one or two more holes.

Investors should take a watching brief on this, I think silver’s always quite a topical one for the markets and you’ll see more on this soon. That halo, that move to now a bulk tonne high grade rather than just a high grade narrow vein model, that’s a material change in thought process for the team.

Q6: A broader mineralised envelope, it’s been mentioned a few times with regards to Elizabeth Hill. What’s the geological significance of that?

A6: I think this is really the first time that there has been I guess sporadic occurrences of silver that was within the area of the mine workings but I don’t think anyone’s ever stepped back and look at this in a holistic sense.

I think that what it really means is a function of economics, we were talking about this high grade narrow vein silver occurrence, what that really is turning out to looking like is the bonanza zone of what appears to be some type of epithermal system, it’s an epithermal system of odd metals, platinum, palladium, copper, nickel, silver, lead and zinc. What we are finding is that that halo that I talking before about the amount of water that goes through these systems, how much you need of that very high temperature, high pressure water that’s full of metal to deposit something like Elizabeth Hill there, is astronomical, it’s thousands of gigalitres over millions of years, possibly, or hundreds of thousands of years.

So, what we are seeing there is effectively the cook zone around that narrow vein that extends maybe 15-20-25 meters either side of the vein itself, it’s also mineralised, and it’s mineralised to a very high degree as well. This comes as a function of the chemistry of the shear zone, you’ve got soft rocks sliding backwards and forwards against hard rocks so the granites are effectively acting as coarse grained sandpaper and creating a very high fine grained reactive shear zone for these metals to precipitate in.

This is really the model that we’re chasing now is, is not these high grade, they will always be there as the core of any of our drilling moving forward, but certainly, our attention now is focused on what are the bulk tonne potential for Elizabeth Hill.

Q7: Finally, Rod, could you just explain for us how having Elizabeth Hill and Munni Munni unified in a coherent tenement under a 100% ownership benefits their advancement?

A7: It’s a pretty simple one. If you could imagine a large circular shape and you chop that shape up into eight pieces, and each one of those parties that owns a piece is not cooperating with their neighbour next door, you can see that over time nothing really gets done. People don’t want to commit capital to exploring their part of that piece because you can’t get any economy of scale from a surface, from a licensing perspective.

So, one of the things that originally was the most attractive aspect for me, and still very much is, was the fact that Munni Munni now has been consolidated from a licensing perspective for the first time in several decades, if not 30/35 years. So, what that allows you to do is you come at this from a 40,000 foot view and explore the entire project with respect to defining resources across the entire tenement area, and you own a hundred percent of those.

So, there’s several things in the mining industry, there’s sovereign risk and there’s licensing risk, Munni Munni has no licensing risk now because there’s an existing mining license and the rest is surrounded by exploration licenses. Elizabeth Hill is also a mining license, it can be turned back on quite quickly, surrounded by exploration licenses. So, what we have there is a very secure 100% ownership of both of these assets with no royalties or obligations on any of them. It’s a very clean deal and it’s that that’s going to be of a huge benefit as we continue to build the resources there at both Munni Munni and Elizabeth Hill.

Read More »

Analyst Notes & Comments

Alien-Metals

Alien Metals Secures Future Growth with Hancock Iron Ore Project Advancements

Alien Metals plc (LON:UFO), a dynamic player in the mining sector, continues to carve a niche for itself in the global iron ore market, demonstrating resilience and strategic foresight. The company has recently hit a major milestone with the Western Australian Government granting a 21-year mining licence for its Hancock iron ore project, positioning the firm for substantial growth and development in the foreseeable future.

Strategic Developments and Project Viability

In February 2024, Alien Metals revealed compelling insights from its Hancock Development Study. This study highlighted the project’s lucrative economic prospects, with a forecasted net present value (NPV) of US$93 million and an internal rate of return that underscores the project’s high potential. The simple yet effective “dig-crush-ship” model emphasises cost-effectiveness and minimal technological complications, further underscoring the project’s appeal to investors and stakeholders.

The granted mining license in April is a testament to the project’s viability and the company’s robust regulatory and strategic framework. The license is not just a procedural step but a strategic victory for Alien Metals, ensuring the long-term sustainability and operational stability of the Hancock project. Alien Metals share price reacted positively to the news, reflecting the market’s confidence in the project’s future.

Partnerships and Future Outlook

Alien Metals has not only secured essential permissions and agreements, including a heritage agreement with the Karlka Nyiyaparli Aboriginal Corporation, but it has also laid significant groundwork for future expansions. The company is actively engaged in discussions to secure development funding, aiming to leverage the current momentum to accelerate production timelines and begin generating cash flow in the near term.

With a clear focus on increasing the existing resources and reserves at Hancock, Alien Metals is poised to enhance the economic value of the project further. The management team’s forward-thinking approach in securing strategic partnerships and funding options will play a critical role in realising these ambitious goals.

Investor Confidence and Market Impact

The series of positive developments at the Hancock project have not only bolstered investor confidence but have also highlighted Alien Metals’ operational excellence and strategic acumen. The company’s commitment to environmental assessments and community engagement, coupled with its strategic planning and execution, paints a picture of a well-rounded and sustainable mining operation.

As the company continues to navigate the complexities of the mining industry, its strategic decisions and project developments at Hancock are setting the stage for a new era of growth and profitability in the sector. With a clear path forward and the tools in place to succeed, Alien Metals stands out as a beacon of innovation and resilience in this global space.

Paul Smith, Analyst at WH Ireland said, “The securing of the mining licence for Hancock is a major milestone and has been well received with the share price reacting positively to the news. If Alien can secure funding, Hancock is a quick to production Direct Shipping Ore project with low capex and opex and a simple business model of dig-crush-ship, which could be delivering cash flow in the near-term.”

Read More »

More Information

Latest Alien Metals News

Interviews

Questions & Answers

Broker Notes & Comments

Alien Metals share price

Fundamentals

Share this page

Twitter
LinkedIn
Facebook
Email
WhatsApp

Data policy – All information should be used for indicative purposes only. You should independently check data before making any investment decision and or seek professional advice. DirectorsTalk cannot guarantee that the data is accurate or complete, and accepts no responsibility for how it may be used.