BlackRock World Mining Trust excited by structural demand growth for mined commodities

BlackRock Frontiers Investment Trust (LON:BRFI)
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BlackRock World Mining Trust plc (LON:BRWM) has announced its latest portfolio update.

All information is at 29 February 2024 and unaudited.

For more information on the Blackrock World Mining Trust and how to access the opportunities presented by mining, please visit www.blackrock.com/uk/brwm

Performance at month end with net income reinvested
OneThreeOneThreeFive
MonthMonthsYearYearsYears
Net asset value-5.9%-7.9%-19.6%9.4%67.1%
Share price-9.3%-10.1%-24.9%-1.0%84.3%
MSCI ACWI Metals & Mining 30% Buffer 10/40 Index (Net)*-3.1%-3.4%-8.0%15.7%56.8%
* (Total return)Sources: BlackRock, MSCI ACWI Metals & Mining 30% Buffer 10/40 Index, Datastream
 

At month end

Net asset value (including income)1:528.63p
Net asset value (capital only):509.81p
Share price:492.50p
Discount to NAV2:6.8%
Total assets:£1,161.6m
Net yield3:8.1%
Net gearing:10.6%
Ordinary shares in issue:191,183,036
Ordinary shares held in Treasury:1,828,806
Ongoing charges4:0.91%
Ongoing charges5:0.81%
  

Includes net revenue of 18.82p.

2 Discount to NAV including income.

3 Based on a final dividend of 23.50p per share declared on 2 March 2023 in respect of the year ended 31 December 2022, a first interim dividend of 5.50p per share declared on 18 April 2023, a second interim dividend of 5.50p per share declared on 24 August 2023, and a third interim dividend of 5.50p per share declared on 11 October 2023 in respect of the year ended 31 December 2023.

4 The Company’s ongoing charges are calculated as a percentage of average daily net assets and using the management fee and all other operating expenses, excluding finance costs, direct transaction costs, custody transaction charges, VAT recovered, taxation and certain other non-recurring items for the year ended 31 December 2023.

The Company’s ongoing charges are calculated as a percentage of average daily gross assets and using the management fee and all other operating expenses, excluding finance costs, direct transaction costs, custody transaction charges, VAT recovered, taxation and certain other non-recurring items for the year ended 31 December 2023.

Country AnalysisTotal
Assets (%)
  
Global61.8
United States9.0
Latin America7.3
Canada7.1
Australasia6.9
Other Africa3.6
Indonesia0.5
South Africa0.1
Net Current Assets3.7
 —–
 100.0
 =====
 
Sector AnalysisTotal
Assets (%)
  
Diversified36.2
Copper22.9
Gold13.0
Steel9.9
Industrial Minerals4.4
Aluminium2.9
Iron Ore2.6
Uranium1.9
Platinum Group Metals1.0
Nickel0.8
Mining Services0.6
Zinc0.1
Net Current Assets3.7
 —–
 100.0
 =====
 
Ten largest investments
CompanyTotal Assets %
BHP:
    Equity8.0
    Royalty1.6
Vale:
    Equity5.9
    Debenture3.1
Rio Tinto7.4
Glencore6.9
Freeport-McMoRan4.0
Nucor Corp4.0
Barrick Gold2.9
Wheaton Precious Metals2.7
Jetti Resources2.4
Teck Resources2.3
  
 
Asset AnalysisTotal Assets (%)
Equity93.2
Bonds2.4
Convertible Bonds0.7
Net Current Assets3.7
 —–
 100.0
 =====
  
 

Commenting on the markets, Evy Hambro and Olivia Markham, representing the Investment Manager noted:

Performance

The Company’s NAV fell by 5.9% in February, underperforming its reference index, the MSCI ACWI Metals and Mining 30% Buffer 10/40 Index (net return), which declined by 3.1% (performance figures in GBP). February was a challenging month for the mining sector, particularly relative to broader equity markets, as the MSCI All Country World Index returned +4.2%. Most mined commodities experienced price declines, appearing to reflect lower consumption levels in China as domestic activity slowed during the Chinese New Year holiday period. Ongoing property sector weakness in the country also contributed to the decline. China’s manufacturing PMI remained below 50 and fell marginally month-on-month from 49.2 to 49.1. For reference, prices for iron ore (62% fe) and zinc fell by 11.7% and 5.4% respectively, although nickel bucked the trend, rising by 10.3%. Meanwhile, the gold price remained stable, but the other precious metals came under pressure, with silver and platinum prices falling by 2.1% and 4.0% respectively. The mining sector’s reporting season demonstrated that companies are generally adhering to their capital allocation frameworks. Operating cost inflation appears to have peaked; however, some capital costs remain persistently high. Lastly, delays to copper production growth were a notable theme which increased our conviction in supply-side tightness for the metal over the next few years. 

Strategy and Outlook

China has re-opened but with less impact than had been expected. Uncertainty persists around China’s commodity demand, but we are seeing the Chinese administration announce financial support incrementally. Longer term, we are excited by the structural demand growth for a range of mined commodities that will result from the low carbon transition. Meanwhile, commodity supply is likely to be constrained by the capital discipline of recent years, whilst inventories for many mined commodities are at historic lows. Mining companies have low levels of debt, continue to return capital to shareholders but appear to be entering a higher capital expenditure phase. We are seeing Brown to Green emerge as a key theme, where mining companies are focusing on reducing the greenhouse gas emissions intensity associated with their production. We expect to see a re-rating for the mining companies able to best navigate this and are playing this in the portfolio.

For more information on the Blackrock World Mining Trust and how to access the opportunities presented by mining, please visit www.blackrock.com/uk/brwm

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