BlackRock Latin American Investment Trust NAV returned -6.4% with the share price moving -6.4%

BlackRock Latin American Investment Trust plc (LON:BRLA) has announced its latest portfolio update.

All information is at 31 July 2021 and unaudited.

To learn more about the BlackRock Latin American Investment Trust plc please follow this link: blackrock.com/uk/brla 

Performance at month end with net income reinvested 

^cum income

^^The Company’s performance benchmark (the MSCI EM Latin America Index) may be calculated on either a Gross or a Net return basis. Net return (NR) indices calculate the reinvestment of dividends net of withholding taxes using the tax rates applicable to non-resident institutional investors, and hence give a lower total return than indices where calculations are on a Gross basis (which assumes that no withholding tax is suffered). As the Company is subject to withholding tax rates for the majority of countries in which it invests, the NR basis is felt to be the most accurate, appropriate, consistent and fair comparison for the Company.

Sources: BlackRock, Standard & Poor’s Micropal

At month end

#Total assets include current year revenue.

##The yield of 5.3% is calculated based on total dividends declared in the last 12 months as at the date of this announcement as set out below (totalling 27.69 cents per share) and using a share price of 524.19 US cents per share (equivalent to the sterling price of 377.00 pence per share translated in to US cents at the rate prevailing at 30 July 2021 of $1.3904 dollars to £1.00).

2020 Q3 interim dividend of 5.45 cents per share (paid 09 November 2020).
2020 Q4 Final dividend of 7.45 cents per share (paid on 08 February 2021).
2021 Q1 interim dividend of 6.97 cents per share (paid on 10 May 2021).
2021 Q2 interim dividend of 7.82 cents per share (payable on 6 August 2021).

*The discount is calculated using the cum income NAV (expressed in sterling terms).
**Net cash/net gearing is calculated using debt at par, less cash and cash equivalents and fixed interest investments as a percentage of net assets.
*** Calculated as a percentage of average net assets and using expenses, excluding interest costs for the year ended 31 December 2020.

^Total assets for the purposes of these calculations exclude bank overdrafts, and the net current assets figure shown in the table above therefore excludes bank overdrafts equivalent to 15.0% of the Company’s net asset value.

*excluding net current assets & fixed interest

Commenting on the markets, Ed Kuczma and Sam Vecht, representing the Investment Manager noted;

For the month of July 2021, the Company’s NAV returned -6.4%¹ with the share price moving -6.4%¹. The Company’s benchmark, the MSCI EM Latin America Index, returned -4.7%¹ on a net basis (all performance figures are in sterling terms with dividends reinvested).

Latin American equities posted a negative performance over the month with Peru and Brazil leading the decline.

Stock selection in Argentina contributed the most to relative performance over the period while stock selection in Brazil detracted most from relative returns. An off-benchmark holding of Argentinian steel manufacturing company, Ternium, was the top contributor on a relative basis following strong steel markets. A holding in Mexican telecommunications company, America Movil, also benefitted the portfolio on the back of better than expected results and deleveraging leading to a greater return of capital to shareholders.  On the other hand, an overweight position in Via Varejo, the Brazilian retail company, detracted most from relative performance. We remain encouraged by the digital transformation cycle spurred on by Via Varejo’s management and ownership changes and our base case is that it will remain a relevant store and online player in its key categories of electronics, appliances, and furniture; however, breaking into the top 3 of online marketplaces will likely be more challenging given increasing competition and heavy investment in logistics from its peers announced in the month. For example, recently Amazon Brazil announced the start of offering one day delivery in 50 states for Amazon Prime members for free, raising concerns on competition in Brazil. An overweight position in Petrobras, a Brazilian petroleum company, also weighed on relative returns as concerns remain about political interference in state owned companies ahead of election year.

Over the month we added to our position in Itau Unibanco, a Brazilian bank, on the view of strong outlook for company growth and earnings potential. We initiated a position in Smartfit, a Brazilian fitness services company on as we feel the company is well positioned for growth. We reduced exposure to Mexican telecommunications company, America Movil, taking profits following the stock’s recent outperformance. We sold our holding in Banco de Chile, a Chilean bank, following political uncertainty in Chile. The portfolio ended the period being overweight to Mexico and Brazil, whilst being underweight to Colombia and Peru. At the sector level, we were overweight industrials and materials and underweight consumer staples and utilities.

It has been a tough period for Latin America (LatAm), with many countries hit hard by the COVID-19 crisis. However, we see a strong case for better times ahead for the region as the world rebuilds after the pandemic, and LatAm may be one of the most important beneficiaries of recovery in the global economy. As the region rebuilds, it will have some important tailwinds. Perhaps the most significant is rising commodity prices. Vast stimulus in the US and economic recovery across the world has pushed up demand for commodities after a period of tight supply. Global governments have ambitious, commodity-heavy infrastructure plans, particularly for green energy development. LatAm is also one of the most abundant regions in the world for lithium, iron ore and copper, with some of the longest-life reserves at a low cost in Brazil, Chile and Peru. There are also broader factors that should support economic growth. Across LatAm, a growing middle class is fueling domestic consumption and after a brief hiatus from the pandemic, this spending appears to be resuming. As businesses in the US look to diversify their supply chains opportunities are being created in Mexico, particularly along the northern border, in the manufacturing sector.  Importantly, a rich seam of new companies listing on the stock market is creating more opportunities all the time. The buoyancy of the Brazilian IPO (Initial Public Offering) market is perhaps the best example. 2020 was a bumper year for Brazilian IPOs. 28 companies listed on the main exchange, raising BRL$43.7 billion (US$8.3 billion) in spite of the pandemic. This was almost four times the previous year’s figure and the highest level since the giddy pre-crash optimism of 2007. This year looks set to be even more promising; over 40 companies have already said they want to list on Sao Paulo’s B3 exchange this year. There are sound reasons for this, with excess global liquidity, favourable macroeconomic conditions, and increased financial awareness among Brazilian investors, all supporting new issuance in Brazil. This is bringing new sectors and more choice for investors in the region. In the portfolio, we have exposure to structural growth themes in the region including healthcare, e-commerce and convenience stores. Against this positive backdrop, we see anecdotal evidence that investors are moving away from China – which has a lot of technology names – to more cyclical markets. LatAm markets, with their focus on materials, energy and financials, are a key beneficiary. LatAm is lightly represented in emerging market benchmarks and has generally been under-owned, so it only takes a small change in sentiment to have a significant impact. We expect more and more investors to rediscover the huge opportunities in this fascinating region.

¹Source: BlackRock, as of 31 July 2021.

18 August 2021

To learn more about the BlackRock Latin American Investment Trust plc please follow this link: blackrock.com/uk/brla