BlackRock Latin American Investment Trust plc (LON:BRLA) builds a carefully selected portfolio of the region’s most compelling investment opportunities with the aim of delivering long-term income and capital growth.
Good companies can still thrive, even in the toughest economic conditions. This year’s ISA season comes amid the most difficult environment for a decade. How do BlackRock fund managers put themselves in the best position to find opportunities?
Capital at risk. The value of investments and the income from them can fall as well as rise and are not guaranteed. Investors may not get back the amount originally invested.
At the start of 2022, many investors were looking forward to a brighter year ahead after the turbulence of the pandemic. As countries reopened, the world economy appeared to be on a bumpy path to recovery. The invasion of Ukraine by Russian troops fundamentally changed the outlook, ushering in one of the toughest years for financial markets on record.
The Russian invasion brought a spike in energy prices, contributing to mounting inflationary pressures. Prices had already been pushed higher by supply chain disruption during the pandemic. Central banks acted decisively, raising interest rates, and withdrawing quantitative easing measures. In doing so, they reversed a decade-long low interest rate regime. That regime had helped support both bond and equity markets. Its withdrawal saw considerable disruption across financial markets.
It was a perfect storm for investors. Stock markets were volatile and unpredictable, particularly in the previously-strong technology sector,2 yet bond markets did not provide their usual support. Both areas sold off significantly.
Only a narrow range of companies and sectors have made progress. The energy sector has benefited from strong commodity prices and higher profits. This has also helped commodity-dependent countries, such as Latin America.3There have been some anomalies as well, such as India, which has recovered well from the pandemic and where the stock market has been strong.4But for most other areas, it has been a gloomy year.
The year ahead
There are relatively few signs of this improving in the near term. ISA investors may need to accept that environment will remain volatile for some time to come. The Federal Reserve has made it clear that its priority is to tackle inflation, whatever the impact on short-term economic growth.5This is echoed by other central banks around the world that recognise the need for price stability.
Nevertheless, financial markets have fallen a long way in 2022 and valuations are lower than where they started in 2022.6 There are still good companies, with a strong pathway of growth, delivering higher earnings and dividends. At BlackRock, we continue to look for those companies that can deliver value in all economic conditions.
Investment discipline
In this type of febrile market, we believe investors need to fall back on sound investment disciplines. Diversification is particularly important at a time when traditional diversification strategies, notably holding bonds and equities, have not worked as well. This means looking beyond traditional markets such as the UK or US, to those markets that have their own self-sustaining growth stories.
Emerging markets risk: Emerging market investments are usually associated with higher investment risk than developed market investments. Therefore, the value of these investments may be unpredictable and subject to greater variation.
Diversification: Diversification and asset allocation may not fully protect you from market risk.
This applies not just to capital growth, but also to income. In the BlackRock investment trusts, we use the full powers of the investment trust structure to explore ideas in overlooked areas. These may not be investable for an open-ended fund due to liquidity constraints, but can be held in an investment trust structure. These may be smaller markets, such as frontiers, or royalty investments or using option-writing to boost dividend income. We may also reserve income in buoyant markets to pay out in tougher times.
It is also a time for strong stock-picking. A difficult economic environment exposes weak companies. Those with high debt could see their repayments rise, while those without pricing power may not be able to put their prices up in the face of higher costs. In contrast, stronger companies can grow even stronger during a downturn, taking market share from struggling rivals. At BlackRock, we draw on our global analyst network to pick up the most compelling ideas.
The investment trust structure can be important in allowing us to take full advantage of those opportunities. In difficult markets, liquidity can be a problem. It can be tough to move in and out of positions. Open ended funds may have this forced upon them, as they may need to buy and sell shares to meet redemptions. In contrast, closed-ended funds have the flexibility to invest as they see fit.
Good risk analysis is also an important discipline in febrile markets. It is important for a fund manager to understand their exposure to different areas: to a rise or fall in interest rates, for example, or a spike in the oil price. This risk discipline is integral to everything we do at BlackRock. We arm our fund managers with all the risk tools they need to understand the decisions they take on investors’ behalf, such as the Aladdin platform which provides sophisticated risk analytics.
Risk Warning: While proprietary technology platforms may help manage risk, risk cannot be eliminated.
2023 could be another difficult year, which makes choosing an ISA difficult, but there are opportunities in all market conditions. We aim to put ourselves in the strongest possible position to take advantage of those opportunities.
To learn more about the BlackRock Latin American Investment Trust plc please follow this link: blackrock.com/uk/brla
Risk Warnings
Past performance is not a reliable indicator of current or future results and should not be the sole factor of consideration when selecting a product or strategy.
Changes in the rates of exchange between currencies may cause the value of investments to diminish or increase. Fluctuation may be particularly marked in the case of a higher volatility fund and the value of an investment may fall suddenly and substantially. Levels and basis of taxation may change from time to time.
Important Information
Issued by BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited, authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. Please refer to the Financial Conduct Authority website for a list of authorised activities conducted by BlackRock.
BlackRock has not considered the suitability of this investment against your individual needs and risk tolerance. To ensure you understand whether our product is suitable, please read the fund specific risks in the Key Investor Document (KID) which gives more information about the risk profile of the investment. The KID and other documentation are available on the relevant product pages at www.blackrock.co.uk/its. We recommend you seek independent professional advice prior to investing.
The Company is managed by BlackRock Fund Managers Limited (BFM) as the AIFM. BFM has delegated certain investment management and other ancillary services to BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Limited. The Company’s shares are traded on the London Stock Exchange and dealing may only be through a member of the Exchange. The Company will not invest more than 15% of its gross assets in other listed investment trusts. SEDOL™ is a trademark of the London Stock Exchange plc and is used under licence.
Net Asset Value (NAV) performance is not the same as share price performance, and shareholders may realise returns that are lower or higher than NAV performance.
Any research in this material has been procured and may have been acted on by BlackRock for its own purpose. The results of such research are being made available only incidentally. The views expressed do not constitute investment or any other advice and are subject to change. They do not necessarily reflect the views of any company in the BlackRock Group or any part thereof and no assurances are made as to their accuracy.
This material is for information purposes only and does not constitute an offer or invitation to anyone to invest in any BlackRock funds and has not been prepared in connection with any such offer.
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[1] https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/27/blogs012822-low-real-interest-rates-support-asset-prices-but-risks-are-rising IMF, 27 January 2022.
[2] https://www.bbc.com/news/business-57979268 BBC, 27 July 2022.
[3] https://www.barrons.com/articles/brazil-stock-market-bargains-51650609904 Barrons, 24 April 2022.
[4] https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-11-11/records-in-sight-for-indian-stocks-as-they-join-global-rally Bloomberg, 11 November 2022.
[5] https://www.cnbc.com/2022/10/10/feds-evans-says-fighting-inflation-is-the-top-priority-even-if-that-means-job-losses.html CNBC, 10 October 2022.
[6] https://www.macrotrends.net/stocks/charts/MSCI/msci-inc/pe-ratio#:~:text=The%20PE%20ratio%20is%20a,November%2010%2C%202022%20is%2041.83 Macrotrends, 3 January 2022.
To learn more about the BlackRock Latin American Investment Trust plc please follow this link: blackrock.com/uk/brla
